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South-North Corridor GRIP 2017
Table 8.1:
Peak flow assumptions for the two supply scenarios Q.1 and Q.2 of the Draft German
Network Development Plan 2016
8.3 Investments in Germany
(Eastern Area of the Region)
On 1 April 2016 the German TSOs submitted the
Draft German Network Development Plan 2016)
to the
German national regulatory authority Bundesnetzagen-
tur (BNetzA). In the
Draft German Network Develop-
ment Plan 2016
the German TSOs propose investments
into the German gas transmission system of 4.4 billion
€ by 2026. These investments include 802km of new
pipelines and 551 MW of additional compressor power.
The major drivers for the investments are the requirements to adapt the German gas
transmission system for the entry of additional H-gas replacing the declining
indigenous L-gas production and the L-gas imports from the Netherlands (see
Chapter 5.3).
The
Draft German Network Development Plan 2016
is based on a scenario frame-
work which was consulted on in mid-2015 and formally acknowledged by BNetzA
on 11 December 2015. In December 2016 BNetzA revised the scenario framework.
Based on the revised scenario framework, the German TSOs are developing and
consulting on a revised
Draft German Network Development Plan 2016
in Q1 2017.
The scenario framework for the
German Network Development Plan 2016
describes
two supply scenarios for additional H-gas quantities required due to the declining
Dutch and German L-gas production under consideration of – among others – pro-
jects described in the ENTSOG TYNDP 2015. Based on the shares defined in the
scenario framework for the two supply scenarios, the following peak flow assump-
tions were applied in the modelling of the
Draft German Network Development Plan
2016
(see Table 8.1).
ASSUMPTIONS ON ADDITIONAL ENTRY PEAK FLOW (GWh/h)
Supply scenario
Q.1
Q.2
NORTH EAST
2.7
17.9
WEST/SOUTH WEST
13.1
13.6
SOUTH/SOUTH EAST
22.7
11.1
The supply scenario Q.2 was derived by taking a limited share of additional capaci-
ties from Nord Stream 2 into account, while the supply scenario Q.1 did not include
this assumed additional capacity.