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Page Background 4 5 6 8 9 9 10 12 13 14 15 16 19 20 22 22 26 27 29 31 32 33 36 38 Preface Executive summary Introduction Objectives Methodology The GLOBIO method Piecemeal urban and infrastructure development Urban development Rural upland areas in temperate hills Wilderness areas and high-altitude steppe Arid lowland areas Lowland and mountainous tropical areas Water resources affected by development Extent of ecosystems with reduced biodiversity as a result of development Piecemeal development intensify land use Piecemeal development is taking great tolls on biodiversity Intensified land use impacts water resources Infrastructure development and poverty Cumulative impacts of land use and climate change on biodiversity Protected areas and policy needs Conclusion References Appendix 1. The GLOBIO 2.0 methodology – infrastructure scenarios Appendix 2. The GLOBIO 3.0 model framework – integrating multiple pressures

The fall of the water

Emerging threats to the water resources and

biodiversity at the roof of the world to Asia’s lowland

from land-use changes associated with large-scale

settlement and piecemeal development

Printed November 2004 by Birkeland Trykkeri, Norway. Photos courtesy of Topham/UNEP and ICIMOD.

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