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There is a saying, of course, that he

who goes first wins. And sometimes,

and in some ways, that is true.

But not always, and especially not

always in the long run.

Forlorn Hope

The most obvious example of going

first being dangerous is the forlorn

hope in a military context. They

were the first people through a

breach in the castle wall or whatever.

Casualties were likely to be very

high. To make this attractive, the

rewards for survival were riches and

promotions (and glory).

London Underground

Here's a different type of example.

The London Underground (the

"tube" - or subway, in American

terms) was opened in 1863. Initially,

the tunnels were near the surface

and were built by "cut and cover"

- a big ditch is dug out, the tunnel

is created, and then the surface is

replaced. But later, the deeper lines

were built with circular tunnels.

These lines had to be built with

Victorian tunneling technology. As a

result, the tunnels are too narrow,

and they are very windy since

Victorian tunneling technology was

not up to going through hard rock,

so it had to go around. So that is

what London is stuck with. You

can't exactly widen a tunnel while

keeping service running for about

20 hours per day. This is the same

problem New York has with the

Holland rail tunnel, which was one of

the motivations for wanting to build

a second tunnel. The problem for

London with the small bore is that

the trains are very crowded. They

are very hot in summer - there is

no air conditioning and the tunnels

are too small to add it. Some of the

stations are very curved, leading

to the famous "mind the gap"

announcements (and by the way, it

is an urban legend that the guy who

voiced that message gets a royalty

each time it is said).

So the bottom line is that London

had an underground railway when

nobody else did, but it is stuck

with 150-year old decisions that

can't be changed. You know why

Beijing's subway is better? Because

they only really built it for the 2008

Olympics, so they could use modern

technology and techniques.

He Who Goes First...Loses

Paul McLellan, Cadence

30 l New-Tech Magazine Europe