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Table 7.1 Supply Capacity Analysis

Water System Master Plan

City of Morgan Hill

PRELIMINARY

Year

2015 2020 2025 2030 2035

(MGD)

(MGD)

(MGD)

(MGD)

(MGD)

Projected Demands - Population Method

Projected Population

42,382

48,000

51,400

54,800

58,200

Average Day Demands

7.6

7.6

8.2

8.7

9.3

Maximum Day Demands

15.2

15.3

16.3

17.4

18.5

Peak Hour Demands

22.8

22.9

24.5

26.1

27.8

Projected Demands - Land Use Method

Average Day Demands

6.0

6.9

7.7

8.5

9.4

Maximum Day Demands

12.0

13.7

15.4

17.1

18.8

Peak Hour Demands

18.0

20.6

23.1

25.6

28.2

Supply vs. Demand Analysis

Available Supply

2015 Available Total Supply

19.32

-

-

-

-

2015 Available Firm Supply

17.16

-

-

-

-

Required Supply

Meet Maximum Day Demand with Firm Supply

15.2

15.3

16.3

17.4

18.5

Surplus / Deficiency

With Existing Firm Supply

2.0

1.9

0.8

-0.3

-1.3

With Recommended Total Supply

2.0

1.9

0.8

0.9

1.0

Recommended New Supply

Recommended Staged Upgrade

1 New Well 1 New Well

Assumed Typ. Future Well Capacity at 1.15 MGD

1.2

1.2

Recommended Total Supply

17.2

17.2

17.2

18.3

19.5

2/8/2017

Demand and Supply