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Ten Year Network Development Plan 2015 Annex C 1 |
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FR (FRANCE)
Final gas demand
Multiple gas demand forecasts for France in the GRTgaz zones were provided for
the power generation sector. Only a single non-power generation forecast has been
provided, which was based on the assumptions close to the ones defining the
Scenario A. GRTgaz has agreed on the following estimates for Scenario B, which
correspond to the EU average difference between GREEN and GREY scenario for
those TSOs where the GREEN estimates are above the GREY estimates:
\\
Annual figures: Scenario B estimated as 11% lower than Scenario A
\\
Design Case and 14-day Uniform Risk: Scenario B estimated as 8% lower
than Scenario A.
For TIGF zone, both scenarios A and B were provided by TIGF.
Power generation – general methodology
For Vision 3, the annual load-factor for nuclear power generation has been reduced
to 69% for the year 2020, while it is 73% for all other years and scenarios. This
change was made to make the application of the methodology feasible, given the
installed capacities of the different technologies, the net electricity demand and the
general assumptions for the load-factors
Power generation – Scenario by TSO
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
ANNUALLY DEMAND GWh/y
14,433 44,824
52,734
52,734
52,734
GR (GREECE)
Final gas demand
Only a single non-power generation forecast has been provided, which was based
on the assumptions close to the ones defining the Scenario B. DESFA has agreed on
the following estimates for Scenario A:
\\
Annual figures: Scenario A estimated as 11% lower than Scenario B
\\
Design Case: Scenario A estimated as 4% lower than Scenario B.
\\
14-day Uniform Risk: Scenario A estimated as 3% lower than Scenario B.
Power generation – general methodology
The TSO submitted the inputs for the general methodology. No further comments
have been reported.
Power generation – Scenario by TSO
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
DAILY PEAK
GWh/d
124
158
159
159
159
ANNUALLY DEMAND GWh/y
22,664 32,481
31,865
31,865
31,865