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TOWN OF MORRISVILLE

5-6

As the land use within the Planning Area changes, the amount of impervious surface will

increase, which not only changes the viewshed, but also affects surface and groundwater

flow, as described in Section 5.10. Table 5-2 includes percentage imperviousness; the values

listed were used in modeling analyses performed for the Town of Cary in its Northwest

Area (CH2M HILL, 2002a). These values are based on literature values. Based on these

impervious values, an impervious area for each land use was estimated. These were then

summed and divided by the total land area to estimate the overall impervious value for

future land use conditions. It is estimated that in the future just over one half of the

Planning Area could be developed into impervious surfaces.

The 2035 Land Use Plan does not include categories for forested and agricultural land. As

described above, the 2035 Land Use Plan is a guidance document that indicates the land use

the Town prefers, if land is developed. Agricultural land is allowed as a land use within the

very low density residential zoning category, but there are no active farms within the Town.

Similarly, currently forested land may remain as forest.

The largest changes between the existing and future land use will be the reductions in

forested land and the increases in industrial and office, and institutional development.

Forested and agricultural land will continue to decrease as low- and medium-density

development replace it. Even without the proposed infrastructure, growth is likely to occur

in the Planning Area, given the Town’s proximity to RTP and the strong local economy;

however, the pattern and rate of growth will be different between these two scenarios.

The Town has mechanisms in place to protect open space through the development process,

as presented in Section 6. Stream buffers, required open space in subdivisions along with

clustered development, landscape buffers between different land uses, park lands, and

greenways will limit the impacts to open space. For these reasons, Table 5-1 underestimates

the amount of open space under future conditions.

Approximately 10.8 percent of the future land within the Planning Area is expected to be

protected as open space. This number is likely underestimated as the riparian buffer,

floodplain, and open space are often included in the other land use categories. Figure 4-1

illustrates the riparian buffers within the Town’s Planning Area, and these buffers account

for 1.8 square miles (or 18 percent of Planning Area). The floodplain area inside the

Planning Area is 0.7 square mile (or 7 percent of the Planning Area). These areas are not

separated from the land use categories listed in Table 5-2. Other areas within development

areas, such as perimeter buffers, are actually open space. Finally, some planned parks are

categorized as undeveloped and not open space.

5.4

Wetlands

Wetlands in the Planning Area are located primarily within the riparian zones or

floodplains of streams and lakes. Wetland losses may occur as land use changes occur and

population density increases in the Planning Area. Wetland loss can result in habitat loss,

habitat fragmentation, and reduction in species diversity. As discussed in Sections 4 and 6,

the majority of wetlands will be protected by existing floodplain regulations. Other

programs that protect wetlands are described in Section 6.