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Wire & Cable ASIA – January/February 2011

27

From the

americas

Writing in

SearchTelecom.com,

Jessica Scarpati went on

to consider the prospects for telecom operators interested

in Latin America’s potential. Having only so many new

revenue opportunities in mature markets like North America,

these operators, she said, are trying “desperately” to drum

up new services to compensate for a saturated market

weighed down by sluggish growth in average revenue per

user (ARPU). (“Latin America Poised for Growth, Challenged

by Lack of Undersea Cable,” 5

th

October)

Latin America is clearly a land of opportunity for operators

in that situation. According to the latest Visual Networking

Index released by Cisco Systems, consumer and business

Internet protocol (IP) traffic there is expected to show a

51% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) in the period

2009-2014, faster than in any other region.

This puts Latin America ahead of the Middle East and

Africa, each with a 45% CAGR over the five years. Mobile

data will likely be the fastest-growing category of IP traffic

almost everywhere, with Latin America expected to achieve

a 111% CAGR through 2014.

The outlook for Latin America is too good to have escaped

notice. But, vis-à-vis North America, Asia and Europe,

the region is woefully underserved by undersea cable.

“There are not that many systems that go down there,” said

Michael Wheeler, vice president of the global IP network

business unit at NTT America Inc (New York). “And a lot of

them [run only up and down] the Atlantic seaboard.”

Ms Scarpati confirmed that – compared with the large amount

of undersea cable between California and Japan, say, or

New York and Britain – the submarine cable system landing in

South America appears paltry, particularly below the Equator.

She wrote, “Central America and the Caribbean fare better,

benefiting from their proximity to North America and the

ample number of landing points on the various islands.”

While an ocean-floor cable network is not a project to be

undertaken lightly, to those operators seriously interested

in tapping the potential of Latin America it may present the

least challenging approach. New Jersey-based telecom

consultant TomNolle told

SearchTelecom

that, throughout

many parts of the region, fixed-line isn’t always financially

or logistically feasible, and wireless is constrained by

line-of-sight. Accordingly, he said, undersea cable is

the best option to connect countries within Central and

South America and to the rest of the world.

“If you’re going through the jungles of Panama or

northern Colombia, I wouldn’t want to try to install cables

through that mess,” Mr Nolle said. “At that point, it would

be cheaper to start at a place like Bogotá and [trench]

undersea cable.”