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Trade

Even as Chinese exporters seek non-US

custom, those using the California

portal go for a bigger piece of the

American market

As recently as July, this column took note of the dwindling

importance of the American consumer to Chinese manu-

facturers. That shift away from exports to the US market

continues, with the tacit blessing of Beijing. But of the

$340 billion in merchandise that came into the US from

China in 2006, more than $130 billion worth entered

through the ports of Southern California; and those

Chinese exporters, far from giving up on the US market,

see opportunity.

According to officials in Beijing and economists who have

testified before the US Congress, Chinese manufacturers

exporting to the American market have had to content

themselves with extremely narrow margins. Typically, they

receive 20% or less of the revenue from the goods they

send to the US.

James Flanigan, whose monthly column ‘The Entrepreneurial

Edge’ in the

New York Times

covers small-business trends

on the West Coast, described the sequence: American

companies design and order the products, receive them

at stateside ports, distribute and market them across the

country, and sell them at retail – retaining 80% or more of

the revenue.

That may be about to change, as growing numbers of

Chinese companies set up operations in the US. Already,

Mr Flanigan noted, more than 500 Chinese companies have

offices or operations in California, from which they hope to

either launch businesses or work with American companies

to increase their share of the proceeds from the trade

between China and the US. (‘Chinese Want to Cut Slice

Going to US Middlemen,’ 16

th

August)

In July, to promote the wider distribution in the US of

Chinese products and services, the Asia Pacific-USA

Chamber of Commerce of Pasadena, California, organised

an event in Los Angeles. The China Global Conference

brought together as many as 300 American businesspeople

and the owners and executives of 45 Chinese companies

seeking partnerships with American concerns in the small-

to-medium size range.

Identifying ‘a clear trend’, Mr Flanigan observed: “Although

it is too soon to tell whether they made deals, the Chinese

companies that sent delegates are part of the pattern of

reaching directly for the American market.”

He also noted the irony that this quiet pursuit of mutually

rewarding partnerships is taking place even as trade

with China remains a fiercely contentious issue at the US

government level.

Direct Chinese investment in businesses and buildings

in the US is still minimal (an estimated $1.3 billion to

$10 billion), but the US State Department has said that it

seems likely to grow.

By way of comparison, the US Bureau of Economic

Analysis reports that companies based in Hong Kong

have invested $1.8 billion in factories and offices in

the US; Japanese companies, $177 billion; British

companies, $252 billion.

On 28

th

August, optimism over China’s economic growth

caused the biggest rally in 3½ years in Chinese stocks

trading in the US. The China American Depositary

Receipt index of the Bank of New York Co climbed

6.6%, the most since January 2004, to 474.02. The

advance in the measure helped limit a loss in the

broader Asian index.

The new Washington insiders:

Indian outsourcing companies

Like the California-centric Chinese exporters of the

first item, many Indian outsourcing companies – whose

work enables their American clients to cut application

development and maintenance costs – are intensifying

their efforts in the US. They are doing it from the nation’s

capital, no less, with a former official in the current

administration as their chief lobbyist.

Most notably, in the view of Anand Giridharadas, who

is South Asia correspondent for the

International Herald

Tribune

, the Indian companies ‘have mastered the

Washington art of waging proxy battles through local

organisations, which allows them to not appear to be

foreigners with an agenda.’ (‘Lobbying in US, Indian Firms

Present an American Face,’ 15

th

August)

Writing from Mumbai at a time when, in the US, the

extended and acrimonious electioneering period was in

full swing, Mr Giridharadas identified the impetus behind

the Indian firms’ new urgency: fear that the pressures

of the presidential election set for November 2008 will

induce candidates to assail Indian companies with the

more or less chronic complaint that they take work away

from Americans.

The focus of the Indian firms’ concern appeared to be

two candidates for the Democrat Party nomination:

Sen Barack Obama, who had dropped hints of opposition

to outsourcing, and John Edwards, a former senator running

a populist (ie working-class activist) campaign. Many Indian

executives consider Sen Hillary Rodham Clinton, also a

Democrat, more of a friend. But the heat of an American

election campaign can very quickly warp even a reasoned

position; and job loss is a hot-button issue with a voting

public deeply conscious of the costs of the war in Iraq.

For the Indian companies, a recent attempt in Congress to

restrict use of the H-1B visa was a worry-point. [Enacted

in 1990, the H-1B visa law allows skilled, specialised

foreigners to work in the US for up to six years and then

pursue permanent residency.] But if the movement against

outsourcing were to re-emerge, wrote Mr Giridharadas:

“It will find itself jousting with a changed opponent.”

The National Association of Software and Service

Companies (Nasscom), which represents the Indian

outsourcing industry, engaged as its chief Washington

lobbyist Robert D Blackwill, a former senior adviser