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EuroWire – September 2007

44

Transat lant ic Cable

of the state of health of the American economy. A reading above

50 indicates growth; below 50, contraction. Economists said the

higher production at factories augured a stronger economy for

the rest of the year, partially offsetting a nationwide slump in

homebuilding. To meet demand, American manufacturers are

rebuilding their inventories after having reduced them over the

previous months.

“The manufacturing cycle continues to swing higher,” Dean

Maki, chief US economist at Barclays Capital Inc (New York)

told

Bloomberg News

. “This is a sustained improvement that

we expect will continue into the second half. It will be a source

of strength for over-all economic growth.” The faster pace

of expansion in the nation’s factories and utilities indicated

that consumer spending was boosting the confidence of US

manufacturers even as prices for raw materials continued to

climb, although at a more moderate pace.

In the week before the ISM report, the Commerce Department

said American consumers spent more freely in May as their

incomes rose, a sign that high gasoline prices had not dampened

the urge to buy. Brisk spending on big government projects, and

by private builders on commercial construction, compensated

for weakness in the housing sector. Construction spending

rose only 0.9%, but even this gain was the biggest in nearly

18 months. The ISM report was one of several indicating that the

US economy had begun its recovery from a first-quarter slump

generally attributed to belt-tightening by businesses concerned

about weakness in the housing and automotive industries.

From January to March the economy grew at its slowest pace in

more than four years. The good news was, of course, tempered

by concern about inflation, which could curtail spending by

American consumers and reduce their contribution to growth

in the global economy. But a government report on income and

spending, notably the ‘core prices’ paid by US producers for raw

materials, indicated that manufacturing costs were under control

at midyear.

Some regional reports were similarly encouraging. ISM said

that its Chicago-area measure of business activity had held

near a two-year high in June. The Federal Bank of New York

said factories in New York State expanded in June at the

fastest rate in a year, while the Federal Bank of Philadelphia

said that manufacturing in that area had accelerated at the

fastest pace in more than two years.

Automotive

Daimler sheds Chrysler

in a very expensive divorce

Dieter Zetsche, chief executive of DaimlerChrysler AG, seemed to

enjoy his star turn as ‘Doctor Z’ in a series of droll TV commercials

for Chrysler products which aired in the US and Canada last

year. But an interview with Mr Zetsche published 25

th

June

in the German daily

Tagesspiegel

suggests he is happy to be

laying down his American burden to focus entirely on the newly

unbound and all-German Daimler AG.

DaimlerChrysler agreed in May to sell 80.1% of its stake in

the ailing Chrysler unit to the private equity investment firm

Cerberus Capital Management for $7.4 billion, freeing Daimler to

concentrate on its luxury Mercedes brand and its truck business.

Mr Zetsche noted in June that the risk of ‘unwanted’ outside

influence on Daimler had significantly diminished, and that

its market value had already doubled. The company, its single-

minded CEO asserted, is therefore ‘no longer a sausage that

would be worth snatching at for financial investors.’

Either ‘Doctor Z’ had forgotten his relief on learning that financial

investors had snatched at Daimler’s US sausage; or, more likely,

he prefers not to think about that aspect of the most expensive

merger in automotive industry history, and one of the least

successful. If so, his financial department can be counted on to

remind him of the high price of his deliverance from the Chrysler

unit for which Daimler paid $37 billion nine years before.

Chris Isidore, senior writer for

CNNMoney.com

, noted at the time

of the sale to Cerberus that the German auto maker will not

even get most of the money that is paid for Chrysler. Instead,

Cerberus will contribute $5 billion to the auto operations it will

now control, with just over another $1 billion going to Chrysler’s

finance arm. (‘Daimler Pays to Dump Chrysler,’ 14

th

May)

Mr Isidore wrote: “While Daimler will receive the remaining

$1.4 billion of the Cerberus capital contribution to the sale,

Daimler expects to have to cover another $1.6 billion in

Chrysler losses before the deal closes. So Daimler estimates

that it will end up paying out about $650 million to close

the deal, and that its earnings for 2007 will take a $4 billion to

$5.4 billion profit hit due to charges related to the transaction.”

Does Daimler come away with anything, besides its roughly

20% stake in the newly independent and debt-free auto

maker Chrysler Holding? It does, indeed. Whatever lies

ahead for Daimler under Mr Zetsche, it is closing the door on

ongoing losses and liability for future health care costs for

Chrysler’s unionised employees and retirees – estimated as high

as $18 billion.

Mr Isidore pointed out that Cerberus’s purchase of the

Chrysler stake is not its first entry into the troubled US auto

industry. Last year it bought a 51% stake in GMAC, the

finance unit of General Motors; and it is in negotiations to

become a major investor in Delphi, the world’s No 1 auto

parts maker, which has been in bankruptcy since October

2005.

“We are aware that Chrysler faces significant challenges, but

we are confident that they can and will be overcome,” said

John Snow, the chairman of Cerberus, who was US Treasury

Secretary from 2003 to 2006. “A private investment firm like

Cerberus will provide management with the opportunity to

focus on their long-term plans rather than the pressures of

short-term earnings expectations.”

That is one view of the private equity sector which has

become a major force in the acquisition of publicly owned

companies in the US, often buying troubled operations at

a bargain price and turning them around for quick resale at

a profit. Cerberus did not disclose any long-term plans for

Chrysler, should it return to profitability.