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ECONOMIC REPORT

2016

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4. Profitability and Corporate Finances

Many companies on the UKCS are reliant on cash-flows from existing operations to fund maintenance and new

development projects. With profitability at an all-time low given the market downturn, companies have had to

borrow more money to fund ongoing commitments.

4.1 Profitability

Free cash-flow generated on the UKCS is a function of three key variables: price, production and costs. The impact

of the fall in oil and gas prices will be partially offset by the sharp decline in capital investment, the continued

operating cost reductions and further increases in production. Although the free cash-flow picture for the UKCS

has improved from the £4.2 billion deficit last year, there is still likely to be a £2.7 billion deficit in 2016.

When existing operations are generating marginal, if any, returns for investors, the prospect of raising further

capital to invest in new projects is extremely difficult, as shown by the lack of new commitments this year (see

section 5.3). This has caused a knock-on effect on profitability throughout the supply chain as projects are

postponed or cancelled (see section 6 for more on the supply chain).

Figure 9: Revenue, Expenditure and Post-Tax Cash-Flow

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30

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1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015

Cash-Flow (£ Billion - 2015 Money)

Gross Revenue

Post-Tax Expenditure

Post-Tax Cash-Flow

Source: OGA, Oil & Gas UK