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FROZEN HEAT

88

4.2.1

Socio-economic challenges

The contribution of gas hydrates to social and develop-

ment goals would depend on a region’s, a nation’s, and/or

a community’s state of development, its gas hydrate endow-

ment, and other living, non-living, and human capital en-

dowments. The key for each geographic region would be to

determine where and whether gas hydrates might fit in a

larger development framework and whether the extraction,

processing, and marketing of natural gas from gas hydrates

would provide a net advance in achieving its goals.

Another consideration for countries and communities would

be the degree to which they can meet their goals without ex-

ploiting gas hydrates. Many developing countries are tapping

emerging markets that generate income directly from ecosys-

tems. These income streams come fromfisheries, tourism, and

direct payments to protect marine biodiversity and the carbon

held in coastal habitats (UNEP

et al.

2012; Solgaard

et al.

2012).

Nations around the world are also finding new opportunities

in service and technology sectors, as well as trade and finance.

Still, for many countries, non-extractive resources and human

capital might be insufficient to meet social and development

targets. For these countries, gas hydrates could offer one ap-

proach to achieving higher levels of socio-economic well-being,

while preserving the quality of the natural environment.

4.2.2

Socio-economic opportunities

A report on gas hydrate research and development in Canada

(CCA 2008) concluded that questions will and should be asked

about the societal impacts of gas hydrate development in areas

where the scale and extent of the development exceeds what

has been experienced to date. In industrialized and diversified

economies, the report noted, the potential social impacts of re-

source development tend to be focused in the area experienc-

ing the development. Those having limited experience with

development will seek to have specific social and/or economic

goals met and to ensure clear benefits for their communities,

while those with more experience will seek to improve upon

previous goals and/or identify other goals (CCA 2008).

These basic social drivers are equally applicable to communi-

ties in developing states, where gas hydrates might someday

represent a new way to meet development goals. If this hap-

pens, nations or communities will need a portfolio of options

for meeting development needs equitably and sustainably,

and for considering how new opportunities, such as those

possibly provided by gas hydrates, might affect other options.

A green economy approach provides a strategic and integrat-

ed framework for considering how a variety of development

options can be balanced and managed, and how economic

capital or financial returns can be reinvested to build the nat-

ural and social capital upon which a sustainable and resilient

economy depends (UNEP 2010b). In the case of a proposed

gas hydrate development, a green approach would try to en-

sure that the development:

• Would improve the social and economic well-being of so-

ciety through equitable capture and distribution of rents

and economic opportunities associated with the utiliza-

tion of non-renewable resources;

• Would not threaten environmental and ecological resil-

ience or productivity;

• Would not raise the cost of living faster than the standard

of living;

• Would guarantee the sustainability of human well-being

and the ecological health that people depend upon; and

• Would keep options open for future generations.

A full cost-benefit analysis would yield benefits when evaluat-

ing potential gas hydrate development in regions with lim-

ited experience with such development, especially in develop-

ing countries. The cost-benefit analysis would include both

the likely monetary and non-monetary costs and benefits

(Hanley and Barbier 2009). It would also provide a clear ac-

counting of how these costs and benefits would be distribut-

ed across society, with special attention to costs and benefits

that accrue to the host country/region/community and to

4.2

GAS HYDRATES AND SOCIETY