HPV-negative and HPV-positive patients had distinct
independent predictors of survival. The most important
predictor of survival in HPV-negative patients was the
presence of ECS. On the other hand, survival in HPV-
positive patients was associated with the surgical
approach (transoral vs open), and whether or not negative
margins were achieved. Specifically, in the HPV-positive
cohort, those with transoral resection tended to have more
favorable outcomes; patients resected via the open
approach were over 3 times more likely to die than those
treated transorally. When controlling for all factors,
including T classification, smoking status, etc., patients
who underwent transoral resection had improved survival.
Our multivariable analysis confirmed that the surgical
approach was a significant independent predictor of over-
all survival and not simply a surrogate marker for
advanced disease. This finding may reflect the greater
morbidity and swallowing dysfunction associated with
open approaches, placing these patients at greater risk of
postoperative aspiration pneumonia. Without randomiza-
tion to surgical approach, however, potential unidentified
confounders cannot be ruled out.
RPA of the entire patient population revealed that HPV
status was the major determinant of overall survival. In
HPV-positive patients, the next most important determi-
nant of survival was the surgical approach utilized fol-
lowed by the pathologic factors of margin status and
perineural invasion. In the HPV-negative patient popula-
tion, the surgical approach was not a significant predictor
of outcome, but rather the presence of ECS, followed by
the T classification of the primary tumor. If the RPA trees
are pruned further, 3 survival outcome groups emerge
that may be deemed: low-, intermediate-, and high-risk
(see Figure 2). HPV-positive patients who are resected
transorally have the lowest risk of death (15 deaths out of
124 patients; 87.9% survival). For HPV-positive patients
undergoing transoral resection, the presence of perineural
invasion was a significant prognostic factor, as shown in
Figure 2A, which is contrary to the study by Haughey
and Sinha,
27
who did not find perineural invasion to be a
significant prognostic factor in surgically treated p16-
positive patients. The intermediate-risk group consists of
those patients who are HPV-positive and resected with an
open approach and negative margins (60.3% survival),
HPV-negative patients with no ECS (58.2% survival), or
HPV-negative T1/T2 tumors with ECS (45.5% survival).
Finally, the high-risk group consists of HPV-positive
tumors resected with an open approach and positive mar-
gins (25.0% survival) and HPV-negative T3/T4 tumors
with ECS (13.8% survival).
To complement the survival data, functional outcomes
were also investigated. As shown in Table 4, patients
undergoing an open approach had much higher rates of
gastrostomy tube dependence compared with patients
undergoing a transoral approach. Patients with T1 and T2
tumors who underwent a transoral resection had a gastros-
tomy tube present at 1 year in 7.84% of the cases, regard-
less of HPV status. These numbers are remarkably similar
to other surgical trials and reinforce that higher rates of
gastrostomy tube presence are primarily seen with T3 and
T4 tumors (9.52% for the transoral approach and 33.33%
for the open approach). This number compares favorably
to gastrostomy tube and dysphagia rates in chemoradia-
tion trials. Best et al
23
reported a 19% rate of stricture
and Shiley et al
26
reported that 47% of patients continue
to require gastrostomy tube feedings even 1 year after
chemoradiotherapy. Even in studies evaluating the use of
intensity-modulated radiotherapy, sparing pharyngeal con-
strictors, 4 of 73 patients (5.6%) report significant change
in diet and 1 of 73 patients (1.3%) was exclusively gas-
trostomy tube dependent. In quality of life surveys, a
sharp deterioration of swallowing is seen postchemoradio-
therapy treatment and this improves slightly between 3
and 12 months posttherapy. Only 15.6% of patients
reported a normal diet at 1 year postchemoradiotherapy,
57% have objective swallowing impairment, and 23%
exhibit silent aspiration on modified barium swallowing
studies.
22
In this patient cohort, postoperative concurrent chemo-
radiotherapy was delivered for “high-risk patients” as
defined by the paired
New England Journal of Medicine
manuscripts published in 2004.
34,41
Based on our analysis,
when controlling for other variables, there was no signifi-
cant difference in survival between patients treated with
postoperative radiation versus those treated with concur-
rent chemoradiation. With the recent emphasis on treat-
ment deintensification for HPV-positive patients, transoral
surgery with postoperative radiotherapy alone may be an
effective strategy to pursue based on these results. On the
other hand, patients with HPV-negative tumors, T3/T4
primary, and ECS have unusually poor outcomes from
both a survival and functional perspective. Intensification
of nonsurgical therapy may be the best treatment options
to consider in this group of patients.
The retrospective nature of this study could lend to
selection biases, such as changing treatment patterns and
techniques. Another weakness of this study was the lack
of data on disease-specific, progression-free, and disease-
free survival. However, this study is the largest analysis
of primary surgical therapy for oropharyngeal SCC. We
were able to control for many factors to arrive at the sig-
nificant results of this study, demonstrating excellent sur-
vival and functional outcomes for selected populations
and treatment modalities of oropharyngeal SCC. This
analysis further supports the future use and study of pri-
mary surgical therapy for certain cohorts of oropharyngeal
SCC, particularly in our attempts at deintensifying ther-
apy for HPV-positive patients.
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TABLE 4. Percentage of patients with gastrostomy tube present at 12
months postsurgery.
Surgical approach
T1/T2
T3/T4
Transoral
7.84%
9.52%
Open
34.0%
33.33%
S
URGICAL MANAGEMENT OF OROPHARYNGEAL
SCC
HEAD & NECK—DOI 10.1002/HED APRIL 2016
166