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33

frequency of extreme events such as flooding and

landslides. Rainfall variability is also a major problem

for rain-fed agriculture, which is the most common

form of farming in East Africa (FAO 2014).

Some areas may also receive less rainfall, such as

parts of the Ethiopian Highlands (William and

Funk 2011). In areas with a large amount of arable

land, such a change is likely to have a negative

impact on the agricultural sector and exacerbate

food insecurity in an already food insecure region

(IGAD and ICPAC, 2007; Alweny et al., 2014).

Biodiversity

The mountain ecosystems of East Africa are rich

in biodiversity and are an important resource for

local communities. They provide food, freshwater,

fibre, fuel, shelter, building materials, medicines

and other important ecosystem services. As such,

biodiversity serves as an important safety net for

the rural poor (Boko et al., 2007; Alweny et al.,

2014). Understanding how climate change will

impact on natural resources is a major concern

(Platts et al., 2012). Changes to biodiversity are

also likely to adversely affect the tourism industry

(UNEP, 2014). Known for their high concentration

of plants and animals of which many are endemic,

the mountainous areas of East Africa are some

of the main tourist attractions in the subregion

(UNEP, 2014). Much of the Eastern Afromontane

biodiversity hotspot, which stretches from the

mountains of Saudi Arabia in the north to Zimbabwe

in the south, is found in East Africa. It includes

the Albertine Rift, the Eastern Arc Mountains,

the Ethiopian Highlands, Mount Kilimanjaro,

Mount Kenya, Mount Elgon and Mount Meru. Of

the 10,856 species found in this hotspot, over a

third are endemic (BirdLife International, 2012).

The Albertine Rift alone – which stretches across

Rwanda, Burundi, Uganda and DRC – has over

SOUTH SUDAN

SUDAN

ERITREA

DJIBOUTI

ETHIOPIA

SOMALIA

KENYA

UGANDA

TANZANIA

ZAMBIA

DRC

RWANDA

BURUNDI

SOUTH SUDAN

SUDAN

ERITREA

DJIBOUTI

ETHIOPIA

SOMALIA

KENYA

UGANDA

TANZANIA

DRC

RWANDA

BURUNDI

Copyright©2015GRID-Arendal ·Cartografare ilpresente/

NievesLópez Izquierdo

Projected change in the distribution of malaria’s vectors

Anopheles

arabiensis

Change in

suitability*

More

Less

Anopheles

gambiae

*Under a climate change scenario with a rise of 2°C Africa wide

temperature, 10% increase of summer rainfall and 10% decrease in winter

rainfall.The overall climatic suitability of a nominated location for the two

species of mosquitoes is provided by an Ecoclimatic Index (EI), which combines the annual

potential for population growth, with the annual stresses that limit survival during the

unfavourable season and with the limiting interacting factor between stresses.

Source:H.E.Z.Tonnang

,R.Y.M.Kangalawe,P.Z.

Yanda,2010, “Predictingandmappingmalaria

underclimatechangescenarios: thepotential

redistributionofmalariavectors inAfrica”,Malaria

Journal20109:111

400 km

Pink flamingos in Lake Nakuru National Park, Kenya