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48

Wire & Cable ASIA – May/June 2017

www.read-wca.com

From the Americas

Myth 1: Government must ramp up infrastructure

spending to make up for past neglect.

The net stock of government infrastructure per person (total

value net of depreciation) has been growing steadily over

the past 15 years and is now at the highest level since 1971.

After adjustment for inflation, it has grown 27.3 per cent

from $16,394 per person in 2000 to $20,876 per person in

2015. Since 2008, annual spending to acquire new public

infrastructure has been particularly high, with Canada

ranking relatively high on international comparisons of

government capital spending.

Myth 2: Infrastructure is largely the domain of

governments.

Those who argue that Canada would benefit from

increased infrastructure spending usually overlook the

major contribution made by the private sector. For over

40 years, the net stock of infrastructure per person

from non-government organisations has exceeded that

of the government sector. In 2015, the net stock of

non-government infrastructure represented 72.6 per cent of

Canada’s total infrastructure stock, up from 63.4 per cent in

1971.

Myth 3: Increased infrastructure spending will spur

economic growth.

In practice, not very much of public infrastructure spending

goes toward the high-in-demand roads, railways or ports

that can increase long-term economic growth by improving

the economy’s productive capacity. Just 10.6 per cent

of what the federal government plans to spend on new

infrastructure will go for trade and transportation projects.

Most will favour so-called green and social infrastructure,

such as public housing, community centres and hockey

arenas. While these initiatives may be appreciated by the

local community, they are unlikely to provide productivity

gains. Moreover, infrastructure spending generally fails

to stimulate the economy in the short term because of

delays in fulfilment and errors in targeting the sectors of the

economy in greatest need.

Myth 4: With interest rates low, now is the time to

ramp up government infrastructure spending.

Failure to account for other relevant fiscal and economic

costs exaggerates the opportunity provided by low interest

rates. Other fiscal considerations include the future

operation and maintenance costs of a new infrastructure

asset, which can be up to 80 per cent of the total lifetime

cost and are not influenced by current interest rates.

In addition, the economic costs of the taxes that fund

infrastructure spending add considerably to overall costs

and should be properly accounted for. A more fundamental

problem is that the interest-rate argument wrongly assumes

infrastructure spending should always be largely or

completely financed by debt.

Myth 5: The federal government should take the lead

on infrastructure.

Government grants give Ottawa influence over which

projects are undertaken and how they are managed,

imposing federal priorities that may not reflect the particular

needs of a given region. Conditional grants can distort local

decision-making by encouraging recipient governments to

undertake projects likely to receive funding over others that

may be of higher local priority.

Federal infrastructure grants can also lead to a deterioration

in the recipient government’s accountability to taxpayers.

Automotive

To commend their product to the

Japanese, USA carmakers may have to

learn to blow their horns louder

Writing from Tokyo, Jonathan Soble of the

New York Times

observed that, even as Japanese cars command a wide

swathe of the United States market, American brands are

barely visible in Japan, where Toyota, Honda and other

domestic brands rule the roads. Of the nearly five million

cars and light trucks sold in Japan last year, Mr Soble

reported that just 15,000 were American, or a mere 0.3 per

cent of the total. He wrote: “Toyota sells more vehicles at a

single mega-dealership in California.”

This has long frustrated American auto executives and

trade negotiators and is a source of resentment in the new

administration in Washington. President Donald Trump

has accused Japan of shutting out American producers by

throwing up regulatory barriers and rigging the currency

market in favour of Japanese brands. In a meeting with

American executives in January he said, “They do things to

us that make it impossible to sell cars in Japan.”

Mr Soble noted that such talk is alarming to the Japanese,

whose auto industry is “a pillar of the economy.” From the

standpoint of Yoshihiro Masui, a car collector unusually well

positioned to offer an opinion, the problem lies elsewhere.

(“Trump Wants More American Cars in Japan. Japan’s

Drivers Don’t,” 9

th

February)

“Of course American cars don’t sell in Japan,” the

Times

was told by Mr Masui who owns, in addition to a replica

Model T with a race car’s engine, a gleaming white Ford

Thunderbird – the latest of nearly 70 Detroit-made vehicles

he has bought and sold over the years. “Dealers don’t

make an effort to convince people. I’ve never seen a TV

commercial. You go to a car show, they’re not there.”

“German cars are popular in Japan, but American cars

hardly sell at all,” Akio Mimura, chairman of the Japan

Chamber of Commerce and Industry, said at a news

conference in February. “If they’re going to sell cars in

Japan, it’s obvious that [the American carmakers] need

to make an effort to appeal to Japanese customers.”

“Japanese cars are boring,” one of Mr Soble’s local

respondents told him. But this is apparently not well

known in Japan.

It would seem that a first step in the effort recommended

to the carmakers of Detroit by Mr Mimura might be a

visit to Madison Avenue for a persuasive ad campaign.

Dorothy Fabian

Features Editor