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16
When it comes to checking up on your portfolio, a
policy of benign neglect invariably beats too much
monitoring. Investors who pay attention to their
portfolios' daily values may find themselves berating
themselves during the market's periodic downdrafts
or congratulating themselves too much when their
balances are fat. Worse, too-frequent portfolio
monitoring can lead investors to tinker with their
portfolios’ positioning and holdings more than
is desirable or necessary. They might be inclined
to adjust their stock/bond/cash mixes based on
short-term macroeconomic events, for example, or
give a fund the heave-ho after just a short period
of underperformance. Taking a long view is usually
more helpful. For most investors, a quarterly, semi-
annual, or even annual portfolio checkup is plenty.
If a midyear portfolio review is on your to-do list, here
are four additional mistakes—in addition to checking
up too frequently—to avoid.
Mistake 1
|
Basking in the Glow of the Wealth Effect
If you have a sizable stock position and you haven’t
checked your portfolio’s value for a while, it’s a
good bet that you’ll be pleasantly surprised when
you look at your balance. Even though stocks have
encountered some turbulence in the past month—
and interest-rate-sensitive bonds have performed
even worse—the past several years have been
tremendously placid for both stock and bond investors.
But with enlarged portfolio balances comes the
potential for behavioral errors. Accumulators may
think they can pull back on their savings rates,
while retirees may feel they can safely take higher
payouts. In reality, however, higher market valua-
tions mean they should be bumping up their savings
rates and reducing spending. After all, future port-
folio growth is apt to come more from investors’ own
contributions and less from market appreciation.
Smooth sailing for both stocks and bonds can also
stoke investors’ appetite for risk-taking with their
portfolios; equity-market volatility, as measured by
the
CBOE
Market Volatility Index, has been quite
low. The S
&
P
500
has had just a handful of losing
quarters over the past five years—the second
quarter of
2015
was one of them—and even then the
losses have been extremely minor. Not only does
that make it tempting to let winners run—and leave
an ever-growing equity stake unchecked—but inves-
tors might also be inclined to build new positions in
outperforming but higher-risk market sectors, thereby
bumping up their portfolios’ volatility potential at
an inopportune time. On the short list of investment
types to think twice about adding this late in the
cycle are small- and mid-growth stocks (and funds),
as well as biotechnology names. In the bond space,
investors mulling additions to high-yield bonds should
consider whether currently meager yields are
adequate compensation for the risks of the sector.
Mistake 2
|
Underappreciating Defensive Players
In a similar vein, very strong returns from high-risk
asset types tend to undermine the case for defensive
portfolio constituents, whether stock or bond. It’s
easy to forget the market downdraft of
2008
, when
many such defensive players more than earned
their keep. High-quality bonds, with their meager
yields and low-single-digit five-year returns, are
the ultimate "what have you done for me lately?"
investment; it’s easy to overlook their merits as
shock absorbers in an equity-market sell-off. Many
defensively minded equity funds—stalwarts like
Jensen Quality Growth
JENSX
and
AMG Yack-
tman
YACKX
, for example—have also generally
disappointed during the rally but would likely hold
up well during a stock market shock.
Mistake 3
|
Getting Lost in the Forest
Morningstar.com’s Portfolio Manager is a terrific
resource when checking up on a portfolio, but it’s
easy to get distracted or overwhelmed by all the data.
Tips for Your Midyear Checkup
Portfolio Matters
|
Christine Benz