CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION
Page 5 of 13
For ground beef, five 650 g samples and five 162 g samples were weighed into
sterile Whirl-Pak bags and hydrated with 1,955 mL and 486 mL, respectively, of
mTSB. The samples were then processed according to the reference method
procedures described above in Section 2.4. Note: for the MPN test samples, the
second set of five samples for the reference testing were used. Samples that
confirmed positive for this procedure were noted and the LCF MPN Calculator
Version 1.6 (Least Cost Formulations, Ltd., Virginia Beach, VA) was used to
calculate the MPN/g and 95% confidence intervals for each portion using the mass
of each sample and the number of reference method confirmed positives at each
level of the MPN setup.
2.7 Probability of Detection Statistical Analysis
After results from the “screening” and “confirmation” stages
were obtained for the
candidate method and “confirmed” results
were obtained for the reference method,
the data was analyzed according to the POD methods of the 2012 version of the
AOAC International Methods Committee Guidelines for Validation of
Microbiological Methods for Food and Environmental Surfaces document (1). The
POD for the candidate method’s “screening stage” (presumptive) results (POD
CP
)
was calculated for each level of inoculation, and compared with the POD for the
candidate method’s “confirmation
stage” (confirmed) results (POD
CC
) at each level
of inoculation in order to attain a difference in POD for the two stages (dPOD
CP
) at
each level of inoculation. A 95% confidence interval was also calculated for each
dPOD
CP
value calculated, and was used to determine whether
the “screening
stage” results wa
s
significantly different from the “confirmation stage” results for
each level of inoculation. According to the methodology, if the 95% confidence
interval of a dPOD
CP
value does not contain zero, then the difference between the
POD
CP
and the POD
CC
of the candidate method at that level of inoculation is
statistically significant at the 5% level. In addition to these analyses, the rate of true
positives (samples with a “screening stage” positive result and “confirmation stage”
positive result), the rate of true negatives (samples with a “screening stage”
negative result and “confirmation stage” negative result), the rate of false positives
(samples with a “screening stage” positive result and “confirmation stage” negative
result), and the rate of false negatives (samples with a “screening stage” negative
result and “confirmation stage” positive result)
were calculated. Additionally, PODs
were
calculated for the reference method’s “confirmed” results (POD
R
) at each
level of inoculation and were compared to the PODs that were calculated for each
level of inoculation for the candidate method where the “screening stage” and
“confirmation stage” results
were both positive for a particular sample (POD
C
). The
difference in POD for the two values at each level of inoculation were calculated
(dPOD
C
) along with its corresponding 95% confidence interval. As noted above, if
the 95% confidence interval of a dPOD
C
value does not contain zero, then the
difference between the POD
C
of the candidate method and the POD
R
of the