97 / 120
BEMIP Gas Regional Investment Plan 2017 |
97
5.2 BEMIP GRIP
Additional Cases
For the BEMIP GRIP 2017 report ENTSOG modelled the various scenarios
to complement TYNDP scenarios as specified by the working group.
After consultating with ENTSOG, the analysis for the BEMIP GRIP report
was performed on the cases presented in table 5.2 below.
ENTSOG MODELLED CASES FOR BEMIP GRIP REGION
DEMAND SCENARIO DEMAND CASES
DISRUPTION CASES
INFRASTRUCTURE CASES
YEARS TO BE
MODELLED
BLUE SCENARIO
1-DAY DESIGN
CASE (DC)
No Russian supply to Finland
and Baltic States
Low + GIPL
2017
2020
2025
No Russian supply to
Baltic States
Low with PCIs in Baltic states
(LT, LV, EE)
GREEN SCENARIO
14-DAY UNIFORM
RISK CASE (2-W)
No supply from Belarus to
Lithuania
Low including all PCIs in the
BEMIP countries
The infrastructure cases in the additional BEMIP GRIP cases have an important impact on the results of each
country, especially the Baltic States and Finland. Therefore, the content of each infrastructure case needs to be
described in more detail.
Low + GIPL
This infrastructure case includes the projects in the BEMIP region listed in 2017 TYNDP under the “Low Infra-
structure Level” scenario, meaning that the existing infrastructures and infrastructure projects with FID status
(whatever their PCI status is) and in addition to this, the GIPL-project which is the interconnector between Poland
and Lithuania.
Table 5.2:
ENTSOG modelled cases for BEMIP GRIP regions