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Baltic Energy Market Interconnection Plan GRIP 2017

1

Table of Content

2

Executive Summary

4

1 Introduction

6

2 Summary of the ­Regional Market

8

2.1 Energy Policy

9

2.2 Market Players

11

2.3 Energy Mix

13

2.4 Market Indicators, Supply and Demand

14

2.5 Legal Framework ­Development

17

2.6 Off-grid Market Development in the Area of LNG and Biogas

18

2.7 Other Influencing Market Factors

20

3 National Market ­Development

22

3.1 Denmark

23

3.2 Estonia

30

3.3 Finland

37

3.4 Latvia

46

3.5 Lithuania

51

3.6 Poland

56

3.7 Sweden

64

­4 Infrastructure

70

4.1 Short introduction of planned regional projects in 2017 – 2026 + Regional Map

71

4.2 Denmark

75

4.3 Estonia

80

4.4 Finland

82

4.5 Latvia

86

4.6 Lithuania

89

4.7 Poland

90

4.8 Sweden

92

5 Modelling Results

94

5.1 ENTSOG TYNDP Modelling Cases

95

5.2 BEMIP GRIP Additional Cases

97

5.3 Indicators

100

5.4 Results

100

6 Modelling Results Analysis by Country

104

6.1 Denmark and Sweden

105

6.2 Estonia

105

6.3 Finland

106

6.4 Latvia

107

6.5 Lithuania

108

6.6 Poland

109

7 Conclusions

110

Abbreviations

113

Country Codes ( ISO )

114

Assumptions

114

List of Tables

115

List of Figures

116

Legal Disclaimer

119