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Southern Corridor GRIP 2017–2026 |
43
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
0
20,000
60,000
40,000
80,000
70,000
50,000
30,000
10,000
GWh/y Yearly Demand
500
650
625
550
525
575
600
675
700
GWh/d
Austria
Final
Power generation
Peak daily demand
2017
2018
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
0
40,000
30,000
20,000
10,000
50,000
GWh/y Final / Power G
150
225
200
175
250
Bulgaria
Peak daily demand GWh/d
Final
Power generation
Peak daily demand
0
40,000
30,000
20,000
10,000
50,000
GWh/y Final / Power G
150
225
200
175
250
Croatia
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Peak daily demand GWh/d
Final
Power generation
Peak daily demand
Evolution of annual demand (%): 0.36
Evolution of Final/PowerG (%):
2/−6
6)
Evolution of peak demand (%):
6
Evolution of annual demand (%): 29
Evolution of Final /PowerG (%):
19/50
Evolution of peak demand (%):
55
Evolution of annual demand (%): 26
Evolution of Final /PowerG (%):
14/88
Evolution of peak demand (%):
29
3.4 Annual and Peak Demand
evolution
In this paragraph we present forecasted data of annual
and peak daily demand country by country. The
Regional increase in annual demand is expected to be
16%. From the graphs of figure 3.11 it results that
Bulgaria, Croatia, Hungary, Italy and Slovenia expect
an increase in gas demand for power generation.
Moreover it is shown that in several countries the in-
crease percentage of the daily peak demand is expect-
ed to exceed the one of the yearly demand. This may
be attributed to the increase of intermittency of the
CCGT operation needed to support the use of renewa-
ble energy sources.
The evolution of the annual demand refers to the
period 2017–2026
5)
.
Please note that the peak demand line corresponds to
the right-hand vertical axis. Therefore the distance of
this line from the bars representing the annual demand
(read on the left-hand axis) does not have any
significance.
6)
The right graphs provide an additional sign on the im-
portance of peak demand requirements in terms of
disaggregated analysis per country. Peak daily demand
is growing in the majority of Regional States, providing
an indication for potential infrastructure development
needs. This conclusion is particularly relevant for
those countries having still an important potential
ahead. For mature markets peak demand is more
stable and infrastructure enhancements could be
more linked to the changing evolution of demand and
supply patterns and to the necessity to adequately
refurbish gas system components and equipment.
5) Demand data refer to TSOs contributions sent to ENTSOG in April 2016 and
their projections may have, in some cases, changed until the publication date.
6) Figures 3.11 do not contain information on the demand breakdown between
RCI and power generation in Austria as this is not available.