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2018 Annual Economic and Financial Review

DOMINICA

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48

Eastern Caribbean Central Bank

visitors is estimated to have declined by

13.3 per cent to 204,457, driven by a sharp

reduction in both the number of stayover

visitors and the number of cruise ship

passengers, the two largest subcategories of

visitors. The number of cruise ship

passengers fell by 14.4 per cent to 134,466

and accordingly, there were 14 fewer cruise

calls. A decrease of 10.5 per cent was also

observed in the number of stayover visitors,

reflecting a fall in arrivals from France

(45.4 per cent), the United Kingdom

(29.6 per cent) and the USA (23.4 per cent).

Moderating the decline in stayover arrivals

were increases in visitors from the Caribbean

(7.3 per cent), Dominica’s largest source

market, and Canada (4.3 per cent). The rise

in stayover visitors from the Caribbean was

likely to be associated with the reintroduction

of the annual World Creole Music Festival in

October 2018, following a hiatus in 2017 due

to the hurricane. Further deepening the

contraction in activity in the sector, the

number of excursionists and yacht passengers

declined by 27.8 and 15.3 per cent

respectively. Consistent with the decline in

stayover arrivals, specifically those in paid

accommodation, tourism expenditure declined

by 40.0 per cent to $186.7m in 2018.

Preliminary estimates indicate that output in

the manufacturing sector declined by

25.0 per cent in 2018, following four years of

decreases in activity. The sector’s

contribution to total output therefore moved

downwards to 1.8 per cent from 2.2 per cent

in the previous year. This outturn was

partially associated with a fall in the output of

beverages by 57.2 per cent, partly reflecting

the closure of the Dominica Brewery and

Beverages Ltd. Tempering the contraction in

the sector, the production of paints increased

by 84.8 per cent and notably, the

manufacturing of soaps resumed in 2018. Due

to the permanent departure of Ross University

School of Medicine, it is estimated that

activity in the education sector declined by

55.5 per cent, following a 6.9 per cent

contraction in the previous year.

Accordingly, the sector’s contribution to total

output decreased to 5.7 per cent in 2018 from

12.1 per cent in 2017. Also affected by the

departure of Ross University, value added in

the real estate, renting and business activities

sector was compressed by 9.8 per cent. This

outturn was also somewhat attributable to

damages sustained by owner occupied and

rental dwellings from the passage of hurricane

Maria. These events have also partly

contributed to a 25.9 per cent decrease in

output in the electricity and water sector.