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2018 Annual Economic and Financial Review

GRENADA

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67

Eastern Caribbean Central Bank

(28.9 per cent), fish (27.4 per cent) and fruits

and vegetables (0.3 per cent) while receipts

for nutmeg fell by 12.7 per cent. The receipts

from manufactured exports rose by

10.3 per cent ($3.4m), attributed mainly to

higher earnings from animal feed

(18.0 per cent), other manufactured products

(55.1 per cent). Meanwhile, receipts from

flour exports contracted by 14.2 per cent.

Travel receipts are estimated to have risen by

10.1 per cent to $437.9m, an acceleration

from the rate of growth of 6.8 per cent

recorded in 2017. This development mirrored

the significant growth in both stay-over

visitors (10.0 per cent) and cruise ship

passengers (14.5 per cent). Commercial

banks’ transactions resulted in a net outflow of

$164.3m in short-term capital, compared with

one of $67.9m during 2017. External inflows

to the central government rose by $67.2m

per cent to $112.7m, owing to the receipt of

loan funds from the World Bank at very

concessional terms and the Caribbean

Development Bank. Meanwhile, external

outflows rose further to $96.6m from $90.3m

in 2017, as the government continued its

efforts to restructure and repay outstanding

debts. Consequently, the central government

recorded a net inflow position of $16.1m from

a net amortization position of $44.8m in 2017.

Outlook

Economic activity in Grenada is expected to

remain strong in 2019, increasing at a

similar rate as in 2018. Growth will be

driven by developments in the construction,

hotels and restaurants, and education

sectors

. The construction sector is expected to

maintain its robust momentum as works

continue on some private sector tourism

related projects as well as public sector

projects. In the public sector, new projects

expected to come on stream during the year

include the Climate Resilient Water Sector

Project, rehabilitation of the Maurice Bishop

International Airport, Retrofitting of the

Hillsborough Heath Center and the Princess

Royal Hospital in Carriacou, among others.

The tourism industry will be buoyed by

intensified marketing; the rehabilitation of

existing room stock and the construction of

new room stock; and increased airlift. The

education sector is also expected to expand in

2019, although at a moderate pace. Positive

value added is also expected in the

manufacturing sector as the reintroduction of

a soft drink brand strengthens output.

However, challenges persist in the agricultural

sector, weighing down its contribution to

growth. Consumer price inflation is expected