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INFORMS Nashville – 2016

422

3 - How The Swine Flu Epidemic Spread: Lessons From The Data

Jussi Keppo, National University of Singapore, Mochtar Riady

Building, BIZ 1 8-69, 15 Kent Ridge Drive, Singapore, 119245,

Singapore,

keppo@nus.edu.sg

, Elena Quercioli, Lones Smith

Contagious diseases are passed on when contagious and susceptible individuals

meet. This paper introduces and explores a new matching game, characterized by

individuals meeting pairwise, possibly unwittingly passing along a disease in a

contagion-like fashion. We assume that individuals can expend costly effort to

avoid acquiring it. In this population game, efforts are strategic substitutes: The

harder other individuals try, the more lax one can be. We solve for the unique

Nash equilibrium when individuals are heterogeneous. We then estimate this

structural model and argue that it improves on the explanation of the data

without endogenous behavior.

4 - An Unbiased Measure Of Integrated Volatility In The

Frequency Domain

Fangfang Wang, University of Illinois at Chicago, 601 South

Morgan Street, Chicago, IL, 60607, United States,

ffwang@uic.edu

This work studies the effect of market microstructure noise on volatility

estimation in the frequency domain. We propose a bias-corrected periodogram-

based estimator of integrated volatility. We show that the new estimator is

consistent and the central limit theorem is established under a general

assumption of the noise. We also provide a feasible procedure for computing the

bias-corrected estimator in practice. As a byproduct, we extract a consistent

frequency-domain estimator of the long-run variance of market microstructure

noise from high-frequency data.

5 - A Parallel Computation Of Characteristics Of Markov Chains With

“Islands” And “Ports”

Amod Basnet, University of North Carolina-Charlotte,

9201 University City Blvd, Fretwell, Charlotte, NC, 28262,

United States,

abasnet@uncc.edu,

Isaac M Sonin

We present a new algorithm to calculate the invariant distribution of a large

Markov chain (MC) whose state space is partitioned into “islands” and “ports”. An

island is a group of states with potentially many connections inside of the island

but a relatively small number of connections between islands. The states

connecting different islands are called “ports”. Our algorithm is developed in the

framework of the “state reduction approach”, but the special structure of our MCs

allows for computations to be performed in parallel. Additional problems for such

MCs, including computation of a Fundamental matrix, optimal stopping, and the

case of small transitions between islands are also analyzed.

WB77

Legends E- Omni

Opt, Integer Programing VI

Contributed Session

Chair: Andrea L. Arias, Graduate Student, Texas Tech University,

4425 82nd Street, Apt 2258, Lubbock, TX, 79424, United States,

andrea.arias@ttu.edu

1 - A Branch And Price Approach For Deployment Of Multi-tier

Software Services In Clouds

Bjorn Nygreen, Retired, Dept. of Ind. Econ. & Techn.

Management, NTNU, Trondheim, NO 7491, Norway,

bjorn.nygreen@iot.ntnu.no

, Anders Nordby Gullhav

This talk considers a problem of a cloud service provider (SP) that offers a set of

applications to its end-users. In short, the SP seeks to find the minimum cost

deployment of its services on an infrastructure consisting of a private and public

cloud, while maintaining a certain quality of service. We propose to solve the

problem using branch and price, where the sub problem is solved both by a MIP

solver and a heuristic label-setting algorithm. Our results show the benefits of

using the heuristic in addition to the exact MIP solver.

2 - Project Scheduling And Multi-skill Workforce Assignment For

Property Management Applications

Anthony Vatterott, Assistant, University of Missouri Saint Louis,

1 University Boulevard, Saint Louis, MO, 63121, United States,

anthonygvatterott@gmail.com,

Haitao Li, Norman Keith Womer

We present a new optimization framework to schedule, assign and route

maintenance tasks with a multi-skilled workforce. Mixed integer programming

methods are applied to obtain effective and efficient solutions to advance the

state-of-the-art of property management. Practical emphasis on job priority, skill

development and knowledge transfer are considered to form the temporal, spatial

and resource constraints while minimizing the total cost of project delivery.

3 - Optimal Selection Of Parsimonious Arima Forecasting Models

George G Polak, Professor, Wright State University, 227 Rike Hall,

Raj Soin College of Business, Dayton, OH, 45435, United States,

george.polak@wright.edu

, Bogdan C Bichescu

In a parsimonious ARIMA Forecasting model the total number of terms chosen is

constrained, and treatment for nonstationarity is limited to differencing of a pre-

specified order. Accordingly, a term for non-stationary variation is included along

with autoregressive, moving average and white noise terms in a decomposition of

the time series. Mixed integer quadratic optimization problems are then

formulated for prescribing model parameters. Walsh functions and Haar wavelets

are employed to represent white noise and non-stationary variation, respectively.

4 - A Comparative Analysis Of MILP Formulations For The

Multi-family Capacitated Lot-sizing Problem (MFCISP)

Andrea L. Arias, Graduate Student, Texas Tech University,

4425 82nd Street, Apt 2258, Lubbock, TX, 79424, United States,

andrea.arias@ttu.edu,

Andrea L. Arias, Graduate Student,

P. Universidad Católica de Valparaíso, Valparaíso, Chile,

andrea.arias@ttu.edu,

Ricardo A. Gatica

The MFCLSP is a variant of the CLSP with setup times in which items are

organized into families. We present three MILP models for the MFCLSP (TRAD, LI

and RC), and develop a comparative analysis in order to evaluate their

performance using Cplex. Since solving large-scale problems has been shown to

consume a great amount of computational time (very unviable for application

purposes), we examine the performance of the formulations under solving time

constraints. The results show a major advantage for both LI and RC regarding to

linear relaxation bounds, and that RC performs much better in terms of

computational time to obtain the first feasible solution, yielding at the same time,

very good optimality gaps.

WB78

Legends F- Omni

Opt, Metaheuristics II

Contributed Session

Chair: Clara Novoa, Associate Professor, Texas State University, 601

University Dr, San Marcos, TX, 78666, United States,

cn17@txstate.edu

1 - Information Supply Chain Optimization With Bandwidth

Limitations

Michael Hirsch, ISEA TEK, LLC, 3283 Hickory Lane,

Longwood, FL, 32779, United States,

mhirsch@iseatek.com

,

Hector Juan Ortiz-Pena

Workflow management systems allow for visibility, control, and automation of

many business processes. Recently, non-business domains have taken an interest

in the management of workflows, and the optimal assignment and scheduling of

workflow tasks to users across a network. This research aims at developing a

rigorous mathematical programming formulation of the workflow optimization

problem. The resulting formulation is non-linear, but a linearized version is

produced. Three heuristics are developed to find solutions efficiently.

Computational experiments are presented and analyzed, comparing solutions to

the original linearized formulation with the three heuristics.

2 - An Intelligent Production Control System For Automotive Parts

Manufacturing With A CPS Approach

Jun Kim, Sungkyunkwan University, Suwon, Korea, Republic of,

tomatoes10@skku.edu

, Hyun Jung Kim

This paper examines an intelligent production control system for automotive parts

manufacturing based on a cyber-physical systems (CPS) approach. We propose a

CPS-based operations monitoring platform that helps decision-making processes

in production management such as predicting undesirable events and reacting to

such problems in advance. Various issues in designing and implementing a CPS

platform for engine piston manufacturing processes are addressed.

3 - An Efficient Heuristic For The Capacitated Lot Sizing Problem

With Setup Carryover And Splitting

Srimathy Mohan, Associate Professor, Arizona State University,

Department of Supply Chain Management, W.P. Carey School Of

Management, Phoenix, AZ, 85069-7100, United States,

srimathy@asu.edu,

Cheng-Lung Chen, Muhong Zhang

We present a new formulation for the Capacitated Lot Sizing Problem with Setup

Carryover and Setup Splitting. Setup carryover transfers a completed machine

setup from one period to the next. Setup splitting completes a setup across period

boundaries. We present a Fix-and-Optimize heuristic that is easy to adapt for

model extensions. Our extensive experimentation shows that the heuristic

produces results within 6% and 8% of optimality for problems without and with

demand backlogging, respectively.

WB77