ENTSOG BAL NC Monitoring Report 2016

3.4.5 Establishing a Forecasting Party

38) In the Polish TGPS balancing zone there is no need to provide any forecast due to non NDM offtakes in this balancing area. No DSOs are connected

to the balancing zone

The forecasting party is responsible for forecast-

ing a network user’s non-daily metered off-takes

and where appropriate its subsequent alloca-

tion. After prior consultation with TSOs and

DSOs concerned, BAL NC foresees designating

at least a forecasting party in a balancing zone.

This may be a TSO, a DSO or a third party.

Table 3 below illustrates that 18 countries (AT,

BE/LU, CZ, DE, DK, ES, FR, IE, IT, HU, LT, NL,

38)

, PT, SI, UK-GB and UK-NI) reported desig-

nating a forecasting party. In 16 countries except

Hungary and Northern Ireland the forecasting

parties were operating by 1 October 2016. In

Northern Ireland its establishment is planned for

October 2017. In Romania and Croatia the des-

ignation is still in progress while five countries in-

cluding Estonia (BG, EL, SE and SK) the desig-

nation of a forecasting party is far not currently

foreseen. In Sweden network users currently

have agreed that they will forecast themselves.

Greece and Slovakia reported that no NDM off

takes exist in their balancing zones.

In ten of the above 18 countries with a designat-

ed forecasting party (BE/LU, DK, FR, IT, PT, SI,

UK-GB and UK-NI) the TSO while in four other

countries (DE, HU, LT and PL) the DSO is fulfill-

ing the task. Four countries (AT, CZ, ES and NL)

designated the task to a Third party.

In Austria the Third Party is the Distribution Area

Manager (DAM). In Czech Republic the fore-

casting task is fulfilled by the Market operator

(OTE), which is an independent subject on the

market. In Spain ENAGAS in its role of the Tech-

nical Manager of the System must define the

demand forecast in collaboration with the DSO

and TSOs and their networks consumers. The

Netherlands reported that so-called EDSN

serves as the forecasting party.

Compared to the previous report three (ES, PL

and PT) of the four countries (ES, HR, PL and

PT) that were planning to establish a forecasting

party, finalised the process by implementing the

forecasting party by 1 October 2016. Poland

reported not designating a forecasting party for

the TGPS balancing zone due to not having any

connected NDM offtake points and nor DSOs

connected to the balancing zone. In three coun-

tries (HR, HU and RO) the designation process

is still ongoing.

Overview of designated and implemented forecasting party by 1 October 2016

FORECASTING PARTY

TSO

DSO

Third party

Under discussion

No forecasting party

foreseen

BE, DK, FR, IE, IT, LU,

PT, SI, UK-GB, UK-NI (10)

DE, HU*, LT, PL (4)

AT, CZ, ES, NL (4)

HR*, RO* (2)

BG, EE, EL, SE, SK (5)

* Countries planning to establish a forecasting party.

Table 3:

Overview of designated and implemented forecasting party by 1 October 2016

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ENTSOG BAL NC Monitoring Report 2016