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56

CAROLLANN BRAUM

CYIL 6 ȍ2015Ȏ

4.1

Article 15

bis:

Three Scenarios

4.1.1 Proprio motu conditions in paragraphs 6 through 8

With respect to the Prosecutor’s decision to move forward with an investigation

and prosecution on his own, or

proprio motu

, under Article 15

bis

, there are two

key potential provisions in the Kampala Amendment that give the Security Council

three potential scenarios as a filter mechanism: Article 15

bis

, paragraphs 6 through

8, and the Article 16 deferral. To begin with, Article 15

bis

, paragraphs 6 through 8

essentially have the potential to slow down the Prosecutor’s investigation by forcing

him or her to wait on a Security Council analysis of the situation. These provisions

dictate that if the Prosecutor decides to move forward with an investigation, he or

she must “first ascertain whether the Security Council has made a determination of

an act of aggression committed by the State concerned.”

40

This is in reference to the

Council’s Article 39 power to determine acts of aggression and then act accordingly

under Articles 41 and 42. These provisions create two possible scenarios: 1) if such

a determination has been made, the Prosecutor can move forward;

41

and 2) if such a

determination has not been made by the Council, then the Prosecutor must wait six

months.

42

After six months, the Prosecutor may move forward only if “the Pre-Trial

Division has authorized the commencement of the investigation in respect of a crime

of aggression in accordance with the procedure contained in Article 15, and the

Security Council has not decided otherwise in accordance with Article 16.”

43

4.1.2 Article 16 Deferral

At this point, we have just covered two out of the three possible scenarios in the

event that the Prosecutor begins to investigate a case of the crime of aggression under

Article 15

bis

of the Kampala Amendment. This leads us to the third possible scenario,

and that which is the most contentious: the Prosecutor attempts to move forward with

an investigation, but the Council defers the investigation under Article 16, which states:

No investigation or prosecution may be commenced or proceeded with under this Statute

for a period of 12 months after the Security Council, in a resolution adopted under

Chapter VII of the Charter of the United Nations, has requested the Court to that effect;

that request may be renewed by the Council under the same conditions.

44

There is of course great concern over this power given to the Council. Many fear

that the Council will use Article 16 to politically insulate certain people. During the

negotiations of the Rome Statute, the American negotiator David Scheffer claimed

that Article 16 “was never intended to serve as a generic impunity carve-out for

40

Kampala Resolution, art. 15

bis

, para. 6.

41

Id

. at para. 7.

42

Id

. at para. 8.

43

Id

.

44

Rome Statute, art. 16.