212 |
Ten Year Network Development Plan 2015
7.7 Way forward
Since the first edition of the Union-Wide Ten Year
Network Development Plan, ENTSOG is pursuing the
same objective of assessing the long term adequacy
of gas supply and demand and the consistent develop-
ment of gas infrastructures.
The TYNDP is a living organism and each edition differs from the previous one. The
same will happen with the next edition as it will look two further years ahead and will
have to meet new expectations coming from an evolving market. Further influences
are expected from the full implementation of the new network codes and new
regulatory requirements.
From a regulatory perspective next TYNDP edition will have to cover the long term
monitoring of gas quality as defined under the Network Code on Interoperability and
Data Exchange. The feedback of the second selection of PCI, based on TYNDP, will
certainly also provide ground for improvement of the methodology. Finally the ongo-
ing discussion on the review of the Regulation on Security of Supply could impact
the role of ENTSOG in the assessment of the European gas system.
The TEN-E Regulation has also set to ENTSOs the objective of defining a joint gas
and electricity network and market model. Both associations have already accom-
plished a big step in that direction with the modelling in this TYNDP of the gas
demand for power generation based on ENTSO-E and market data.
ENTSOG hopes that the public consultation on this Report will confirm it meets
stakeholders and institutions key expectations. At the same time, it will give a
view on the future challenges to be taken up by ENTSOG. The same will go with
the ACER opinion on the report.
This constant evolution gives a predominant role to the consultation process which
has multiple purposes, all of the same importance. First it ensures the adequacy of
the TYNDP concept with stakeholder expectations and regulatory requirements
which often requires the definition of a consensus among diverging views. Then it is
supporting the elaboration of the methodology where the right balance should be
defined between complexity and comprehensibility. Finally it should enable the
sharing of information between market players and institutions in order to define the
necessary data set which has a strong influence on the quality of the assessment.
Experience has proven that the last two objectives are difficult to achieve. Every
stakeholder has his own expectations regarding the TYNDP, therefore compromise
has to be reached on the scope of the report. Then the improvement of the method-
ology has required the use of data beyond TSO remit such as commodity prices or
supply availability. On this point little feedback has been received from stakeholders
on the ENTSOG default proposal even if the selection of scenarios has as much im-
portance as the methodology itself.
Therefore every reader is invited to engage in discussions with ENTSOG on the
way to improve the report and to prepare challenges ahead.
ENTSOG will provide
many opportunities to do so through public consultation, workshops and Stakehold-
er Joint Working Sessions. Specific proposals to improve the methodology and the
dataset will be particularly appreciated.