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ECONOMIC REPORT 2015

35

6.2 Fiscal Contribution

Since 1970, direct taxes from the production of oil and

gas have totalled more than £330 billion to end 2014.

Tax rates have ranged widely over the years and have

not always reflected the UKCS’ profitability. They have,

however, begun to fall since the last increase in 2011

(as detailed in Section 7.5 under promoting investment).

UKCS production tax receipts have fallen sharply

since reaching £14 billion in 2008-09 in 2014 money,

reflecting the decline in production, increased costs of

operating the basin and also the ability to immediately

offset capital allowances in full against taxable profits

(see Figure 19). The latest HM Treasury projections

indicate tax receipts of £2.2 billion in the fiscal year

2014-15, which is expected to decline further to

just £0.5 billion by 2021

6

, based on current forward

oil prices.

Oil & Gas UK has estimated tax receipts paid by the

UK supply chain from two main sources: corporation

tax and value added tax (VAT) plus payroll (PAYE and

employer’s national insurance contributions). Based

on the latest figures available

7

, the supply chain’s

corporation tax contributions in 2013 are estimated at

over £1 billion and payroll contributions are estimated

at over £1.5 billion, totalling circa £2.5 billion.

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0

5

10

15

20

25

30

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1968/69

1970/71

1972/73

1974/75

1976/77

1978/79

1980/81

1982/83

1984/85

1986/87

1988/89

1990/91

1992/93

1994/95

1996/97

1998/99

2000/01

2002/03

2004/05

2006/07

2008/09

2010/11

2012/13

2014/15

2016/17

2018/19

2020/21

Government Revenues from UK Oil and Gas Production

(£ Billion - 2014 Money)

Royalty

Supplementary Charge

Ring Fence Corporation Tax

Advanced Corporation Tax

Supplementary Petroleum Duty

Petroleum Revenue Tax

Summer

Budget

2015

Forecast

(nominal)

Source: HM Treasury, Office for Budget Responsibility

Figure 19: Production Tax Revenues and HM Treasury Forecast

6

See the summer Budget 2015, p.108, at

http://bit.ly/1Ma6zZj

7

The projections are based on Oil & Gas UK’s interpretation of data provided in

The UK Upstream Oil and Gas Supply Chain – Economic Contribution

(April 2014),

published by EY at

www.ey.com

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