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ECONOMIC REPORT 2015

31

545

521

548

548

569

532

Contribution from New Fields

Reduction from Existing Fields

0

520

530

540

550

560

570

2014/15

2015/16

Total Production (Million boe)

Source: Oil & Gas UK

beginning to pay off, demonstrated by the annual rate

of production decline from existing fields slowing to just

over four per cent in 2014, compared to 15 to 20 per

cent over 2011 and 2012. The reduction in the number

of unplanned outages and better general reliability

are signs of the improvement in asset management.

This has been achieved through means such as the

activities of the Production Efficiency Taskforce,

sponsored by both Oil & Gas UK and government.

With greater confidence in the performance of the

existing asset base, Oil & Gas UK also expects new

start-ups to have a further beneficial impact on

production over the next few years. New fields that

have come on-stream since 2010 accounted for over

ten per cent of total UKCS production in 2014.

Production from new fields over the next three to

four years is anticipated to sustain the upturn over the

remainder of the decade while also lowering unit costs

(typically forecast to be £6-12/boe).

For the basin as a whole, the combination of both a

falling cost base and a slowing production decline rate

means a significant improvement in average UOCs on

the UKCS. From an average of £17.80 in 2014, the cost

of producing a barrel of oil or gas could fall to around

£15/boe by the end of 2016.

Figure 16: Production Changes (New versus Existing Fields)

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