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Page Background

L’A

TLAS

DU

M

ONDE

DIPLOMATIQUE

I

23

Recent nuclear powers

Countries suspected of

developing nuclear weapons

A black square represents about 100

nuclear warheads

Sources: Nuclear Threat Initiative (NTI); Federation of American Scientists (FAS); Natural Resources Defense Council (NRDC); Educational

Foundation for Nuclear Science (EFNS);

Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists

; The Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.

Longstanding nuclear

powers

and poor

drawn between military weapons,

which require large-scale industrial

facilities, and toxic agents that can be

synthesised in small quantities in an

ordinary laboratory.

Over the last 15 years western coun-

tries, apart from the US, have started

reducing the size of their chemical

and biological stockpile. But at the

same time some developing countries

have started upgrading their weapons,

increasing their strategic value. Egypt

and Yemen used poison gas in the

1960s. In 1988 Iraq’s use of chemical

weapons against the Kurds prompted

other countries in the area, in parti-

cular Iran, Syria and Israel, to acquire

such weapons.

Moscow’s policy in this respect is a

source of concern. After the break-up

of the Soviet Union in 1991 Russia

kept about 40,000 tonnes of chemical

materials, accounting for two-thirds of

the total worldwide. Through official

sales or contraband it has become a

key centre for their dissemination.

The 1972 Biological and Toxin

Weapons Convention, which came

into force in 1977, bans their deve-

lopment, production and storage,

except for peaceful purposes. Howe-

ver in 2001 the US opposed plans to

introduce stricter controls for enfor-

cement of the treaty. The 1993 Che-

mical Weapons Convention bans the

development, production and storage

of chemical weapons.

Dirty bombs, which combine con-

ventional explosives and radioactive

materials to contaminate the largest

possible area, are themost likely vector

for deliberate nuclear pollution by a

terrorist group. These devices have not

so far been used, so they do not count

as WMDs, but they are nevertheless

among the weapons terrorist groups

might use.

On the web

10 000

20 000

30 000

40 000

1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000

0

2005

5 000

United States USSR

(Russia from 1992)

United Kingdom

France and China

Sources: Federation of American Scientists (FAS);

Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists

.

The real nuclear powers in 2005

Changes in nuclear stockpile

>

Organisation for the Prohibition of Chemical

Weapons (OPCW):

www.opcw.org

>

International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA):

www.iaea.org

>

Carnegie Endowment for International Peace:

www.carnegieendowment.org/npp/

>

United Nations Institute for Disarmament

Research (UNIDIR):

www.unidir.org

>

Centre for Nonproliferation Studies (CNS):

www.cns.miis.edu