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Southern Corridor GRIP 2017–2026 |
51
Imports
Indigenous production
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
0
1,000
800
600
400
200
1,200
1,400
1,600
TWh/d
Austria
Figure 4.1:
Part of gas imports in total consumption
(Source: TYNDP 2017, ENTSOG)
Romania
Italy
Austria
Hungary
Croatia
Bulgaria
Slovakia
%
45
31
5
13
6
0
0
Figure 4.2:
Share of national production on the total
Regional indigenous productions by country in
2015 (Source: TYNDP 2017, ENTSOG)
4.1 National Production
Gas from national production still plays an important role in some countries of the
Southern Corridor Region, especially in Romania where coverage of yearly demand
by national production is expected to be 79% in 2017 and 104% in 2026, Croatia
(52% in 2017 and 14% in 2026), Bulgaria (2% in 2017 and 35% in 2026), Austria
(15% in 2017 and in 2026), Italy (12% in 2017 and 14% in 2026) and Hungary
(19% in 2017 and 9% in 2026). By 2026, Romania will still be the major producer
in the Region, among the countries already having a national production, with 46%
of the Region’s production closely followed by Italy with 41%. In 2015 the share of
gas for national production has covered 22% of the overall Southern Corridor
demand as shown in Figure 4.1. Figure 4.2 shows the participation of each country
in the national production of the Region in 2015. The increase in above percentag-
es may come from the introduction of biogas (as in the case of Italy) and/or the
exploitation of new fields (as in the case of Romania).
Although the part of National production in the gas mix of the Region has been
decreasing for a number of years, the forecast indicates a stabilisation due to the
recent discoveries in the Black Sea expected to go on stream in the early ‘20s. The
trend will even be reversed if and when the off-shore gas fields in Cyprus will enter
production phase. Unlike the national production of the other European countries,
where this is primarily used to satisfy national demand (or part of it), the production
of Cyprus will greatly exceed its consumption even taking into account the commis-
sioning of gas fired power plants, presently planned to enter in operation by 2020
1)
,
and any other use that will be developed, given that no gas is presently used on the
island. Figure 4.3 shows the impact on the gas production from Cyprus on the SC
Region national production, from 2022 onwards. This impact will make the SC
Region national production jump from a 25% share of the EU national production,
to 35%.
1) Operation should be first based on imported LNG