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INFORMS Nashville – 2016

239

TA19

106B-MCC

Optimization Modeling and Beyond with a Focus

on Practice

Sponsored: Computing

Sponsored Session

Chair: Leo Lopes, SAS, SAS Campus Drive, Cary, NC, 27513,

United States,

Leo.Lopes@sas.com

1 - Optimization Modeling With Python Using Pandas

Irv Lustig, Princeton Consulting,

irv@princeton.com

The Python library pandas

(http://pandas.pydata.org/

) is a popular library used by

data scientists to carry out an entire data analysis workflow in Python. When

building optimization models, we often work with data in tables that are sourced

from databases, CSV files, and spreadsheets. pandas provides a uniform

environment for working with data tables with a large number of methods for

manipulating tabular data, many of which are directly applicable for building

large scale optimization models. In this talk, we will illustrate some of these

powerful features that can accelerate optimization model development and

deployment.

2 - SAS/OR Value Beyond the Model

Leo Lopes, SAS Institute,

Leo.Lopes@sas.com

We focus on uses of SAS/OR that go beyond modeling and solving, but are are

just as essential to deliver production quality prescriptive analytics models quick-

ly. The tasks we describe support testing, instance generation, access to alterna-

tive solvers, data manipulation, algorithmic control, and visualization.

3 - Building Optimization-enabled Applications Using AMPL Api

Robert Fourer, AMPL Optimization Inc., 2521 Asbury Ave,

Evanston, IL, 60201, United States,

4er@ampl.com

We describe how to combine the power of the AMPL modeling system and a

general-purpose programming language to build rich optimization-enabled client

applications. Having an optimization model expressed in a high-level declarative

form with model and data separation facilitates its evolution and maintenance,

and makes switching between different solvers and data sources easy. At the same

time it is possible to use a familiar development environment and have access to a

wide variety of programming libraries for data management and interface

development.

4 - Decision Optimizer 7.0: Combinatorial Optimization For

Business Analysts

Susanne Heipcke, FICO, San Jose, CA, United States,

SusanneHeipcke@fico.com

, Livio Bertacco, Sebastien Lannez

With Decision Optimizer a strategy analyst can define and optimize complex

decision problems using an intuitive graphical workflow. By designing the

interactions between decisions and constrained metrics, it is possible to create

models for optimizing the assignment of actions, such as investment options or

transaction authorization, for large-scale datasets of input elements leveraging

analytic techniques for sampling and segmentation. In the new version 7.0, DO

has been integrated with FICO Optimization Modeler to provide a more

collaborative, web and cloud based experience, improved scenario management,

distributed execution and Tableau based reporting.

TA20

106C-MCC

Mathematical Finance, Models, Simulation and

Today’s Pressing Problem

Invited: Tutorial

Invited Session

Chair: Joseph M. Pimbley, Maxwell Consulting, LLC, 1, Croton-on-

Hudson, NY, 10520, United States,

pimbley@maxwell-consulting.com

1 - Mathematical Finance, Models, Simulation And Today’s

Pressing Problem

Joseph M. Pimbley, Maxwell Consulting, LLC, a, Croton-on-

Hudson, NY, 10520, United States,

pimbley@maxwell-consulting.com

Financial markets are awash in information ranging in form from numerical data

to unstructured news reports to nebulous narratives of executives and regulators.

Investors, fiduciaries, intermediaries and other “market actors” apply an

exceedingly broad spectrum of human skill and ingenuity to the interpretation of

this streaming information. Mathematical techniques and analysis, in particular,

are notable tools in which mathematical advances and discoveries may improve

markets’ liquidity, efficiency and pace. This article outlines the origin and

techniques of mathematical finance and associated models and simulations. We

note strengths and shortcomings of these mathematical tools. The greatest

challenge today is to learn and teach to the financial world the necessary

judgment to avoid and rescind destructive deployment of financial models.

TA21

107A-MCC

Beyond Predictive Analytics

Sponsored: Health Applications

Sponsored Session

Chair: Margret Bjarnadottir, University of Maryland, 4324 Van

Munching Hall, College Park, MD, 20742,

margret@rhsmith.umd.edu

1 - Data-driven Specification Of Cyclical Arrival Processes

Donald Lee, Yale University, 165 Whitney Ave, Box 208200,

New Haven, CT, 06520, United States,

donald.lee@yale.edu,

Ningyuan Chen, Sahand Negahban

The arrival processes of real-world systems usually exhibit cyclical behaviour. For

example, patient arrivals to emergency departments often peak around midday

and drops off at night. In this talk we show how this periodic structure can be

exploited to obtain a compact and analytic description of the underlying arrival

process from data. Such a model is clearly useful for both simulation and

modeling purposes. We demonstrate the method on arrivals data from an

Emergency Department in southern Connecticut.

2 - Incorporating Dose-prediction Within A Personalized

Treatment Paradigm

Eva Lee, Georgia Institute of Technology,

eva.lee@gatech.edu,

Xin Wei

This work is joint with Grady Health Systems and Atlanta VA Medical Center. We

design an outcome-based decision support tool that couples a predictive

treatment-effect model with a planning optimization model. The predictive model

uncovers treatment effect analysis of anti-diabetic drug dosage and the blood

glucose level recorded in the titration period of each patient. This evidence is then

incorporated within a personalized planning model for optimal treatment design.

The decision support tool allows continuous learning of evidence for each patient

as new treatment outcomes are recorded.

3 - Optimal Selection Of Health Care Providers

Jerry Kung, MIT,

jkung@mit.edu

Given electronic health claims data for employees of a company, we propose a

mixed integer optimization approach to select a collection of providers that

optimizes over total cost, while maintaining quality and respecting travel distance

for employees. We demonstrate that our formulation is tractable for large datasets

and present the computational results on a real claims dataset. By following the

prescriptions generated by our optimization model, we estimate that cost

reductions of up to 10% can be achieved by reassigning patients for a small

number of different types of procedures. We demonstrate that these cost

reductions are robust to changes in a variety of parameters.

TA22

107B-MCC

Joint Session MSOM-HC/HAS: Modeling and

Optimization for Chronic and End-Stage

Renal Disease Patients

Sponsored: Health Applications

Sponsored Session

Chair: Murat Kurt, Merck, Merck, Philadelphia, PA, 07033,

United States,

murat.kurt7@gmail.com

Co-Chair: David Kaufman, University of Michigan-Dearborn, 19000

Hubbard Dr, Dearborn, MI, 48126, United States,

davidlk@umich.edu

1 - Optimal Decision Making In A Markov Model With Parameter

Uncertainty: The Case Of Chronic Kidney Disease

Reza Skandari, University of British Columbia,

Reza.Skandari@sauder.ubc.ca,

Steven Shechter

We investigate a Markov decision process whose unknown transition parameters

are revealed partially through state observation. Decisions are made as the state

evolves. We use the model to study the optimal time to start preparing a type of

vascular access for chronic kidney disease patients who will need dialysis.

TA22