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Natural gas has a higher conversion-

efficiency than other fossil fuels when

producing electricity or heat, meaning

less energy is lost in the process.

RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT PLAN

(R&D PLAN)

ENTSOG methodologies, tools and data scenarios are

being continuously improved. In 2014, ENTSOG finalised

many deliverables planned in previous years’ AWP.

Altogether it enabled cost-benefit analysis methodology to

be implemented. The resulting improvements were also

implemented in other deliverables such as the Supply

Outlooks.

The Supply and Demand (S&D) and Network Modelling

(NeMo) Kernel Groups form the core of the Investment

Working Group in charge of developing innovative ap-

proaches and tools.

Supply and Demand Kernel Group

S&D KG performs research to expand knowledge of the

supply and demand aspects of European gas. This know­

ledge is used to develop an improved definition of the as-

sumptions and approaches used in the seasonal outlooks

and TYNDP.

In 2015, S&D KG deepened its knowledge of ENTSO-E

TYNDP input data and results and consequently improved

the approach to gas demand for power generation for

TYNDP 2017. In addition, the Kernel Group defined ration-

ales for three demand scenarios to be used by TSOs when

providing demand data for TYNDP 2017.

ENTSOG’s R&D activity also includes other matters such as

evaluating the impact of demand-side measures. Consider-

ation of these issues is underway and will continue through-

out 2016. In 2015, ENTSOG and ENTSO-E already cooper-

ated on their Winter Outlooks, which allowed them to reflect

on the ability to mitigate gas security-of-supply issues by

substituting gas-fired generation means by other generation

means as part of ENTSO-E Winter Outlook.

Network Modelling Kernel Group

In 2015, ENTSOG factored in feedback from TYNDP 2015

and, consequently, began to improve its modelling ap-

proach. One such improvement is the modelling of high-

demand situations (making use of average climatic year

modelling results) independently from the rest of the year.

This was tested successfully within Winter Outlook

2015/2016. ENTSOG also initiated a change in the pro-

gramming language which will allow for faster simulations.

34 |

ENTSOG Annual Report 2015