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Gas Regional Investment Plan of the South Region 2017 |
37
160
140
60
120
100
80
40
0
20
TWh/y
France
2017
2020
2025
2030
2035
EU Green Revolution
Slow Progression
Blue Transition
Green Evolution
EU Green Revolution
Slow Progression
Blue Transition
Green Evolution
160
80
100
120
140
60
40
20
0
TWh/y
Spain
2017
2020
2025
2030
2035
EU Green Revolution
Slow Progression
Blue Transition
Green Evolution
EU Green Revolution
Slow Progression
Blue Transition
Green Evolution
100
20
10
40
30
70
60
50
90
80
0
TWh/y
Portugal
2017
2020
2025
2030
2035
EU Green Revolution
Slow Progression
Blue Transition
Green Evolution
EU Green Revolution
Slow Progression
Blue Transition
Green Evolution
Figure 3.20:
Power generation demand by country – France (Source: Data from TYNDP 2017, own elaboration)
Figure 3.21:
Power generation demand by country – Spain (Source: Data from TYNDP 2017, own elaboration)
Figure 3.22:
Power generation demand by country – Portugal (Source: Data from TYNDP 2017, own elaboration)
Power Generation Demand
In the power generation sector, all demand scenarios are showing a significant increase, which implies reductions
in yearly CO ² emissions.
In France, the Blue Transition and the Green Evolution scenarios are the same: the demand increases till 2030
and then stabilises. In the EU Green Revolution and the Slow Progression scenarios, starting from 2025, demand
for power generation is assumed to remain stable (detrimental context for gas fired power plants).
For Spain, the demand increases for all scenarios, with more demand in the Blue Transition and less demand in
the Slow Progression. In Spain, the EU Green Revolution and the Green Evolution have the same demand.
In Portugal, the demand increases in all scenarios, but the Slow Progression Scenario has a special behavior,
decreasing slightly until 2025, and then increasing in 2030 due to the decommissioning of the coal power plants
before 2030. Slow Progression scenario is the only scenario with less demand for power because coal is expected
to be a favored fossil fuel, rather than natural gas.