34 |
Gas Regional Investment Plan of the South Region 2017
0
1,200
1,000
200
800
600
400
TWh/y
Total Demand by scenario
2017
2020
2025
2030
2035
Green Evolution
EU Green Revolution
Slow Progression
Blue Transition
3.3 Demand data
The level of gas demand has been influenced by the
development of the gas market and the specific climatic
conditions over the years.
3.3.1. YEARLY AVERAGE DEMAND
The yearly average total demand is shown in Figure 3.13.
For the South Region, the Blue Transition and Green Evolution scenarios display a
continually increasing trend across the time period, due to the closure of coal plants
and merit order switch to gas following regulation designed to reduce CO ² emissions
from the power sector, combined with increased economic output and the develop-
ment of RES. In the EU Green Revolution, gas demand is expected to slightly
decrease after 2025. The Slow Progression scenario has a relatively stable gas
demand, but less demand than the others till 2025, after that the EU Green Revolu-
tion is the scenario with less demand.
Figure 3.13:
Yearly average total demand (Source: ENTSOG TYNDP 2017 data, own elaboration)