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Gas Regional Investment Plan of the South Region 2017 |

29

Residential & Commercial & Industrial & others

Yearly Modulation Factor (2015)

Power Generation

Total demand

France

Portugal

Spain

0

1.0

0.5

0.2

0.1

0.7

0.6

0.3

0.4

0.9

0.8

Residential & Commercial & Industrial & others

Yearly Modulation Factor (2016)

Power Generation

Total demand

France

Portugal

Spain

0

1.0

0.5

0.2

0.1

0.7

0.6

0.3

0.4

0.9

0.8

Residential & Commercial & Industrial & others

Yearly Modulation Factor (2016)

Power Generation

Total demand

France

Portugal

Spain

0

1.0

0.5

0.2

0.1

0.7

0.6

0.3

0.4

0.9

0.8

Residential & Commercial & Industrial & others

Yearly Modulation Factor (2016)

Power Generation

Total demand

France

Portugal

Spain

0

1.0

0.5

0.2

0.1

0.7

0.6

0.3

0.4

0.9

0.8

0

100

60

France

Portugal

% of each Country's Peak Demand over

Peak Demand of the South Region (2016)

Spain

40

20

80

%

5%

62%

33%

Figure 3.10:

Yearly modulation factor for Final Demand (Residential & Commercial & Industrial & others),

Power Generation demand and Total Demand, for France, Portugal and Spain

(Source: ENTSOG TYNDP 2017 data, own elaboration)

Figure 3.11:

Share of each country (France, Portugal and

Spain) in the peak demand of the South Region

(Source: ENTSOG TYNDP 2017 data, own

elaboration)

In the South Region, the combined cycle gas turbines (CCGTs) are playing an

important role as a support in the development of renewable energy production.

Intermittency and unpredictability of renewable energy sources like wind require a

flexible back-up. CCGTs can provide efficient flexibility and therefore makes the

CCGT an enabler to introduce the development of renewable energies.

Nevertheless, gas for power generation is in competition with other sources of

electricity, and the role of gas in electricity generation can vary according to the

hydrologic regime, the gas prices (compared to other sources of power and flexibility,

such as coal), the electricity demand and prices, and political decisions (price of

CO ² permits, subsidies on renewable energy, etc.).

The yearly modulation factor is defined as the daily average gas demand divided by

the daily peak demand. A high yearly modulation factor means demand is relatively

uniform, even in peak situation. A low yearly modulation factor shows that a high

demand is set; to service that peak demand, capacity is sitting idle for long periods.

As it can be seen in Figure 3.10, France’s total yearly modulation factor is lower

compared to Portugal and Spain. This is mainly due to the seasonal modulation in

France that is much less pronounced in Portugal and Spain. To cope with this sea-

sonal modulation, France has developed important underground storage facilities.