120 / 288
120 |
Ten-Year Network Development Plan 2017 Main Report
Table 3.9:
Pipeline gas potentials from Azerbaijan (GWh/d)
Supply Potentials
Shah Deniz phase 1 production has already started and will remain stable and
limited to regional markets. ENTSOG considers as potential Azeri supply for EU gas
coming from phase 2 starting as of 2019.
\\
Maximum Azeri pipeline gas potential
This potential considers the 10bcma (110TWh/y) for the EU market as it was done
in TYNDP 2015. The ramp-up phase gradually increases the gas imports from 2019
to 2022.
\\
Minimum Azeri pipeline gas potentials
With the final decision of the aforementioned transit route, the likelihood of receiv-
ing some gas can now be considered high. Hence, this minimum potential has been
set at 80% of the maximum one.
0
90
60
30
120
TWh/y
0
6
3
9
12
BCM/a
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
Maximum
Range
Minimum
Figure 3.31:
Pipeline gas potentials from Azerbaijan
PIPELINE GAS POTENTIALS FROM AZERBAIJAN
GWh/d
2017*
2020
2025
2030
2035
2037
MAXIMUM
0
119
297
297
297
297
MINIMUM
0
95
238
238
238
238
* Supply potentials 2017 as shown in table 3.2 are used for the assessment