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0
600
500
400
300
200
100
800
700
900
TWh/y
2009
2010
2011
2012
2015
2013
2014
AT
BG
CZ
DE
DK
FR
HR
HU
IT
MK
NL
PL
RO
SK
UK
Figure 3.40:
EU indigenous production 2009–2015. Country detail
3.3.3 INDIGENOUS PRODUCTION
This section covers the national production of gas from EU countries including
conventional sources, biomethane and shale gas.
3.3.3.1. Conventional sources
Conventional gas production in Europe decreased by 34% between 2010 and
2015. The evolution was not homogeneous. Indigenous production increased
slightly in Bulgaria, Czech Republic and Romania. The decreases since 2009 of the
Netherlands by 39% and the UK by 36%, accounted for the majority of the decline
in the EU over the period. The decline observed in the Netherlands is not only
caused by depletion of gas reserves, but is also the result of additional restrictions
on the production of the Groningen field that were introduced by the Dutch Govern-
ment since 2014 in response to the earthquakes in the Groningen area.
The information on EU indigenous production has been collected from TSOs. The
EU indigenous production is expected to continue decreasing significantly over the
next 20 years. This decrease could be slightly mitigated with the development of
production fields in the Romanian sector of the Black Sea and Cyprus
1)
. However
except for Romania, projects, enabling production are considered as Non-FID and
are included only in the High Infrastructure Level due to their lack of maturity (see
Annex F on Methodology).
1) Cyprus does not have a domestic market and as it is located far from European markets there is uncertainty where the
gas might flow either as pipe-bounded gas or as LNG. For modelling purposes it is assumed that a large proportion of
Cyprus production will be delivered to Europe