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130 |
Ten-Year Network Development Plan 2017 Main Report
0
400
300
200
100
500
TWh/y
2017
2020
2025
2030
2037
2035
AT
BG
CY
CZ
DE
DK
HR
HU
IT
NL
RO
RS
UK
PL
SK
FI
IE
Figure 3.43:
Potential of EU conventional production
(incl. non-FID) 2017–2037
0
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
80
90
100
%
DK
2017
2020
2025
2030
2037
2035
AT
BG
CY
CZ
DE
HR
HU
IT
IE
NL
RO
RS
UK
PL
SK
FI
Figure 3.44:
Shares of EU potential conventional production
(incl. non-FID) 2017–2037
Next figures show the potential evolution of conventional production by country.
From 2020 the production in the Netherlands and the UK would decrease more
significantly than in other countries in the absence of new discoveries. After 2035
Cyprus could become the second biggest EU producer after the Netherlands.
Conventional gas potentials
Compared to imports, there is relatively little uncertainty on the evolution of Europe-
an conventional production. The main uncertainty is related to the development of
the necessary infrastructures to connect new gas fields to the rest of the European
gas system.