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Ten-Year Network Development Plan 2017 Main Report

Supply source dependence

From 2020 the 2

nd

-PCI list projects allow Finland and the Baltic countries to share

the same level of the dependence on Russian gas than their neighbours.

The CSSD indicator still shows some infrastructure limitations in South-Eastern

Europe where Romania remains isolated limiting the benefits surrounding countries

can make from its national production. Infrastructure limitations also prevent Greece

from reducing its dependence to the Russian supply.

In the PCI 2

nd

list infrastructure level the EU-wide dependence on Russian gas can

be shared between all countries on the long run thanks to the implementation of

projects that provide diversification of supply sources across the EU.

In terms of dependence of the Iberian Peninsula to LNG, the situation improves

compared to the Low infrastructure level with the implementation of the Midcat

project soon after 2020, which decreases the dependence to LNG from nearly 40%

to close to 25%. Even with the commissioning of this project, dependence to LNG

would nevertheless remain on the long-run, related to the foreseen increase of the

Iberian Peninsula demand.

Green Evolution

2020 PCI

Green Evolution

2030 PCI

Cooperative Supply Source Dependence to Russian supply, PCI-2nd list infrastructure level, whole year, Green Evolution

0%

2%

25%

100%

15%

50%

Figure 6.46:

Cooperative Supply Source Dependence to Russian supply, PCI-2

nd

list infrastructure

level, whole year, Green Evolution

Green Evolution

2020 PCI

Green Evolution

2030 PCI

Cooperative Supply Source Dependence to LNG supply, PCI-2nd list infrastructure level, whole year, Green Evolution

0%

2%

25%

100%

15%

50%

Figure 6.47:

Cooperative Supply Source Dependence to LNG supply, PCI-2

nd

list infrastructure

level, whole year, Green Evolution