ENTSOG TYNDP 2017 - Main Report

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Ten-Year Network Development Plan 2017 Main Report | 239
Conclusions
The projects from the 2nd-PCI list prove efficient in terms of improving security of
supply and competition, additionally solving nearly all the assessed issues stemming
from different supply prices per supply route.
In terms of security of supply 2nd PCI list projects provide the following further
benefits compared to advanced projects:
\\South Eastern countries are protected from demand disruption in case of
short-term Ukrainian route disruption including on the long-run and in the Blue
Transition scenario. In 2030, while the situation for Romania is significantly
improved compared to the advanced infrastructure level, the country could still
face a limited demand disruption (around 10%) in case of Ukrainian route
disruption.
\\The N-1 for ESW-CBA is improved for Croatia, Estonia, Greece, Lithuania,
Portugal and Slovenia.
\\The access to supply sources is improved to the point where all European
countries have access to a minimum of 3 different supply sources.
Yet, even with the materialisation of the 2nd-PCI list projects, the N-1 for ESW-CBA
would remain below 100% on the long run for Bosnia and Herzegovina, Finland,
FYROM, Ireland, Serbia and Sweden.
The 2nd-PCI list projects additionally deliver in terms of improving competition, by
increasing route and supply diversification and consequently lifting local high
dependence to specific supply sources.
\\The access to supply sources is improved to the point where all European
countries have access to a minimum of 3 different supply sources from shortly
after 2020.
\\High dependence to Russian gas is eradicated all over Europe.
\\The Iberian Peninsula dependence on LNG is significantly mitigated.