235 / 288
Ten-Year Network Development Plan 2017 Main Report |
235
This indicates that 2
nd
PCI list projects can make sense in addition to advanced
projects in order to further address the risk of demand disruption in case of Ukrain-
ian transit disruption.
N-1 for ESW-CBA infrastructure assessment
After 2020 the Lithuanian N-1 for ESW-CBA indicator improves up to exceeding
100%, mainly thanks to additional interconnection capacity between Latvia and
Lithuania. By 2030, Portugal and Slovenia exceed 100% and FYROM and Serbia
improve significantly their N-1s for ESW-CBA.
Denmark also improves its N-1 for ESW-CBA indicator above 120% in 2030 in all
scenarios.
In Ireland, Finland and Sweden, the N-1 for ESW-CBA remains on a low level
between 2020 and 2030 by the 2
nd
-PCI list Infrastructure level. Nevertheless the
Blue Transition
2020 PCI
Blue Transition
2030 PCI
UA transit disruption, PCI 2nd list, DC, Blue Transition
0%
20%
100%
0%
20%
100%
50%
Remaining Flexibility
Disrupted Demand
Figure 6.42:
UA transit disruption, PCI 2
nd
list, DC, Blue Transition
Green Evolution
2020 PCI
Green Evolution
2030 PCI
N-1 for ESW-CBA, PCI 2nd list, DC, Green Evolution
0%
90%
120%
100%
>120%
Figure 6.43:
N-1 for ESW-CBA, PCI 2
nd
list, DC, Green Evolution