ENTSOG TYNDP 2017 - Main Report

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Ten-Year Network Development Plan 2017 Main Report

6.4.2.4 EU Bill and monetisation on country level

The EU Bill mainly refers to the EU supply bill. Except in very specific cases, the

infrastructure projects do not impact on the EU supply mix, whatever the supply

configuration considered. As a result, the EU Bill is generally on the same level as in

the low infrastructure level

Still, the additional infrastructure allows the usage of the whole Romanian national

production in all scenarios. National production being priced lower than other supply

sources results in a slight decrease of the EU Bill in 2025.

In case of maximisation of Russian supply with a low Russian gas price, slight

benefits from the additional infrastructure can be observed at country-level for

Austria, Czech Republic, Denmark, Germany, Italy, Luxembourg, Slovenia, Slovakia,

Sweden and Switzerland. (see figure 6.38)

In case of minimisation of Russian supply with a high Russian gas price, Finland

significantly benefits its connection to the Baltic States, these last ones also showing

an improvement. Whereas in the low infrastructure level Finland, the Baltic States

and Central Eastern Europe countries were suffering from a high Russian gas price,

in the advanced infrastructure level additional interconnections allow to decrease

this local effect by sharing it among a larger number of countries. (see figure 6.39)

In case of LNG maximisation and low LNG price the impact is wider shared by coun-

tries. The most noticeable improvement can be observed for Finland (connection to

Baltic States) and Sweden (GO4LNG terminal). While the total effect for the EU

remains the same the impacts at country level depend on the scenario. In the Blue

Transition scenario no significant change is observed for other countries. In the

Green Evolution and EU Green Revolution scenarios the following additional coun-

tries are slightly benefitting from the low LNG price compared to the low infrastruc-

ture level: Austria, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Croatia, Czech Republic, Denmark,

Germany, Hungary, Italy, the Netherlands, Poland, Serbia, Slovenia, Slovakia,

Sweden and Switzerland. (see figure 6.40)

1) The lower transport costs that are visible in the Annex are a modelling technicality and not an effect of the additional

infrastructure.

2020 Advanced

2030 Advanced

20% – 100%

0% – 20%

Remaining Flexibility

0% – 20% 20% – 50% 50% – 100%

Disruption Demand

Price effects from a low price for Russian gas, Green Evolution, whole year, Advanced infrastructure level, €/MWh

0.50

2.00

5.00

1.00

3.00

Figure 6.38:

Price effects from a low price for Russian gas, Green Evolution, whole year,

Advanced infrastructure level