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Ten-Year Network Development Plan 2017 Main Report
6.4.2.2 Supply source dependence
From 2020 the advanced projects allow South-Eastern countries to share the same
level of the dependence on Russian gas than their neighbours, apart from Romania
whose infrastructure limitations prevents that it shares the benefits of its indigenous
production with neighbours. The difference further West remains.
In 2030, the Advanced infrastructure level improves the dependence in Finland and
the Baltic States from more than 90% to 40%, but a difference to the rest of Europe
is still visible. The improvement is the most significant for Finland which benefits
from the connection to the Baltic States.
In the low infrastructure level, dependence to LNG was identified for the Iberian
Peninsula. The interconnection reinforcement project between France and Spain
(STEP project) has an advanced status. Yet no firm capacities were reported for this
project as the result of a technical evaluation developed by concerned TSOs in sum-
mer 2015 showed capacities linked to UGS, LNG and climatic assumptions.
ENTSOG taking only firm capacities into account for its assessments, the coopera-
tive supply source dependence (CSSD) on LNG remains at the same level as in the
low infrastructure level.
2020 Advanced
2030 Advanced
20% – 100%
0% – 20%
Remaining Flexibility
0% – 20% 20% – 50% 50% – 100%
Disruption Demand
CSSD-Russia, Green Evolution, whole year, Advanced infrastructure level
0%
2%
25%
100%
15%
50%
Figure 6.36:
CSSD-Russia, Green Evolution, whole year, Advanced infrastructure level