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6.4.1.2 Disrupted Demand and Remaining Flexibility
under Route Disruption
Belarus transit disruption
In the Low infrastructure level and Blue Transition scenario, Poland and the Baltic
States were facing a risk of demand disruption on the long run in case of Belarus
transit. The additional infrastructure remedies most of this risk mainly thanks to the
new infrastructure linking Poland to other countries: this allows Poland to access ad-
ditional gas and to support Lithuania: the demand disruption risk is lifted for Poland,
reduced but not completely lifted for Lithuania.
Blue Transition
2020 Advanced
EU Green Revolution
2020 Advanced
Blue Transition
2030 Advanced
EU Green Revolution
2030 Advanced
0%
20%
100%
0%
20%
100%
50%
Remaining Flexibility
Disrupted Demand
Figure 6.31:
Disrupted Rate and Remaining Flexibility under Belarus disruption, Blue Transition
and EU Green Revolution, DC, Advanced infrastructure level