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Ten-Year Network Development Plan 2017 Main Report |
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2.2.1.1 Split between final and power generation demand
( last 6 years )
1)
Some elements of gas demand are more sensitive to climate factors than commod-
ity prices or economic slowdown, as a result splitting total gas demand into different
classifications allows greater analysis of how the demand is evolving.
Final demand (made up of residential & commercial, industrial and transport
sectors) was relatively constant between 2010 and 2013 before seeing a decrease
in 2014 and 2015. Part of this decrease can be attributed to these being the warmest
years on record for the EU which would have a significant effect on the requirements
for space heating. However, energy efficiency is also driving down the demand in
some countries.
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
TWh/y
2010
2011
2012
2013
2015
2014
Power generation
Final Demand
Figure 2.2:
Evolution of European yearly gas consumption and its breakdown.
Gas demand for power generation had been in a continual decline since 2010, but
reversed the trend in 2015. Some of the key factors behind these figures will be
explored in this chapter, including looking at the evolution of sectoral demand
collected for the first time in TYNDP 2017
-10,0
-15,0
-20,0
-5,0
0,0
5,0
10,0
15,0
%
2010 to 2011
2011 to 2012
2012 to 2013
2013 to 2014
2014 to 2015
Final Demand
Power Generation
Grand Total
-7%
-8,3%
1,5%
-3,3%
0,6%
-2,9%
-10,1%
2,7%
-10,0%
4,0%
-12,1%
-17,8%
-15,8%
-9,6%
9,7%
Figure 2.3:
Breakdown of the European year to year gas consumption evolution.
1) For countries unable to provide the disaggregation between final and power, all demand appears as final.