43 / 288
Ten-Year Network Development Plan 2017 Main Report |
43
F.4.4 MODELLING ASSUMPTIONS
Perfect market functioning
Assumption made to ensure to focus on infrastructure gaps that market or regulato-
ry rules cannot address. In particular, no tariff is considered for transmission. For
further information, refer to Chapter 6.
Gas prices
The price curves for the modelling are directly built on the gas prices in the different
scenarios coming from the IEA World Energy Outlook. For further information
regarding the prices, refer to Chapter 2.4 and Annex C. For further information
regarding the price curves refer to sub-chapter 2.2.2 in Annex F.
Supply configurations
Intended at representing potential future temporary rankings of supply prices to
the EU.
\\
They are not intended to model long-lasting situations.
\\
They aim at covering potential price situations over the next 20 years.
Designed to maximise, resp. minimise, a given source when the source is cheap,
resp. expensive.
Price spreads
Only used for the assessment in the import price spread configuration. Price spread
applied to the different import routes based on publicly available information.
Further information is available in sub-chapter 6.3.4.2 with input data shown in
table 6.5. The import price spread methodology is also covered in Annex F.
Value of Lost Load
The monetary impact of a disruption in the modelling is 600 EUR per disrupted
MWh. For further information, refer to Annex F.
L-gas demand
In TYNDP 2017, L-gas demand is modelled by setting minimum flows between
concerned countries. For further information, refer to Annex F.
F.4.5 MODELLING OUTPUTS
Marginal prices
Marginal prices are outputs of the modelling intended to assess the possible conver-
gence of marginal prices. For further information, refer to Annex F.