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South-North Corridor GRIP 2017 |

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3.1 Introduction

The aim of this chapter is to provide useful elements to

understand the evolution of the natural gas market in

the countries belonging to the South-North Corridor.

The analysis of historical data and of future market

trends, both at a regional and continental level, repre-

sents the basis for the planning and construction of new

infrastructures. Consequently, a proper interpretation of

these data is one of the key factors to understand the

current configuration of the gas infrastructure as well as

future enhancements of transmission networks, storage

facilities and LNG plants.

The chapter is structured as follows:

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In the first section,

historical data

related to the annual average demand

are shown, with a description of the current situation and a comparison with

previous years; data are presented in order to highlight both trends concerning

all the countries of the Region, and also the demand breakdown into different

consumption sectors (residential/industrial and power generation).

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In the second part, a natural gas

demand forecast

for the next twenty years is

given, both in terms of annual average demand and annual peak demand.

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A third final section deals with the analysis of the

markets

in the Region,

focusing on different hub performances in terms of volumes and prices.

All the data used for the demand analysis have been sent by the TSOs to­

ENTSOG in 2016 for the data collection for TYNDP 2017. The data are not

temperature-corrected.