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South-North Corridor GRIP 2017 |

9

In comparison with the previous editions of the SNC GRIP, additional efforts have

been made to improve the quality level of the different analyses, summarised here

below according to the structure of the publication:

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Chapter 2

provides an overview of the

supply sources

available to the SNC

Region, with indications of their historic weights and trends, as well as their

potential developments driven by the decline of indigenous production in

North-West Europe, and potential developments related to the new Southern

Corridor route, Nord Stream enhancements and LNG market evolutions. In the

same chapter, the report analyses the potential

infrastructural advancements

based on the ENTSOG TYNDP 2017 projects planned in the next 20 years.

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Chapter 3

captures the main elements related to the evolution of the natural

gas markets in the countries belonging to the South-North Corridor. The analy-

sis hinges on the national historical and forecasted

demand trends

(based on

the same data set as the ENTSOG TYNDP 2017 and the scenario storylines

identified therein), and the

market zone performances

in terms of volumes and

prices registered at the hubs in the Region.

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Chapter 4

represents the most innovative section of this 3

rd

GRIP edition,

recalling the common

European energy strategy

dimensions and the individu-

al national energy policy frameworks

. This section acts as a bridge between the

market and infrastructure elements of the first part of the SNC GRIP and the

second part of the Report, dedicated to the role that the Region and the South-

North Corridor projects can play in fulfilling the internal energy market

objectives.

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Chapter 5

frames the dimensions of the EU energy policy in a Regional context.

Specifically, this section illustrates how the SNC Region can help to materialise

the benefits identified at European level as references for the evaluation of the

gas infrastructure, in particular security of supply, market integration and com-

petitiveness.

The role of the South-North Corridor as a bridge between new

needs and new sources

is crucial since it represents a connecting axis between

the NW Region – affected by an accelerated decrease of the national produc-

tions – and the Southern Corridor Region – having the potential for supplying

Europe with new routes and sources – as witnessed also by the

Projects of

Common Interest

planned in the Region.

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Consistent with both previous SNC GRIP editions,

Chapter 6

starts with the

identification of the

rationales behind the South-North Corridor

, identifying its

specific benefits in terms of security of supply, competition and gas markets

integration, and the need for complementing the historic North-South flow pat-

terns. The chapter continues with the

description of the Reverse Flow projects

in Italy, Switzerland, Germany and France

, highlighting their major characteris­

tics and advancements towards commissioning.

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Chapter 7

is dedicated to

network modelling

with specific simulation exercises

carried out using the ENTSOG Network Modelling tool (NeMo) and the same

input data as in TYNDP 2017. Simulations are always performed at a

European-wide scale, but closer attention is given to the South-North Corridor

assessment, taking a deep dive in those specific cases which show different

reverse-flow configurations of the South-North Corridor infrastructure.

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Finally,

Chapter 8

is dedicated to the

planned country-specific infrastructure

developments

over the next years, including descriptions of recent develop-

ments and progress of major market and network development projects. Some

of the described initiatives appear complementary to the South-North Corridor

and might be necessary for the full exploitation of its potential, as concluded

also by the simulation cases presented in chapter 7.

This 3

rd

SNC GRIP report again welcomes all stakeholders’ possible suggestions for

further improving the next edition. For this purpose, a specific feedback form closes

the publication.