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Ten Year Network Development Plan 2015 |
13
0
7
14
21
28
35
%
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
min Low
min High
LNG
0
7
14
21
28
35
%
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
min Low
min High
RU
Figure 6:
Evolution of the supply share of Russian gas and LNG according to the Low and High Infrastructure scenarios
2015 Low
2015 Low
2035 Low
2035 High
Figure 7:
Cooperative Supply Source Dependence towards Russian (red) and LNG (blue) supplies
CSSD < 5%
5% < CSSD < 15%
15% < CSSD < 25%
25% < CSSD < 50%
CSSD > 50%
CSSD < 5%
5% < CSSD < 15%
15% < CSSD < 25%
25% < CSSD < 50%
CSSD > 50%
Towards RU supplies
Towards LNG supplies
2015 Low
2015 Low
2035 Low
2035 High
203
203 High
MARKET INTEGRATION, A CONSTANT CHALLENGE
The TYNDP assessment confirms a predominant position of Russian gas and LNG
supplies under the Green scenario even with all other sources at high deliverability.
This situation could be improved with the commissioning of new infrastructure and
the connection of new supplies. The following graphs compare the minimum supply
share of Russian gas and LNG between the Low and High Infrastructure scenarios
along the time horizon.
TYNDP findings show that regions not sufficiently integrated often suffer from a lack
of supply security and competition. This is especially the case for the Baltic region,
Central-Eastern and South-Eastern Europe, where the development of infrastruc-
tures has been unsufficient due to the historical gas supply from Russia, and also
for South-Western Europe where LNG has a significant role. The latter case is not an
issue in terms of security of supply, but in terms of exposure to the global LNG price.