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30

Balkans countries was built in the 1960s and 1970s

and is already in need of widespread rehabilitation

and replacement (IEA, 2008). Climate change is

expected to pose risks to power transmission network

functions, and reduce efficiency or alter structural

integrity, especially for older, poorly maintained

facilities (UNEP/ENVSEC, 2012).

Accompanying the expected decreases in annual river

discharge and changing seasonality of river flows,

overall hydropower production in Europe including

the Western Balkans is expected to decrease by 1.66

TWh, or 1.43 percent compared to 2005 production

levels (Hamududu and Killingtveit, 2012). One study

from Croatia predicts that energy generation from

Solar electricity potential

Source:GlobalEnergyNetwork Institute,

(geni.org

,accessNovember2015).

Yearly sum of global irradiation received by optimally-inclined

PV modules

1 650

1 550

1 400

1 300

1 800

kWh/m2

100 km

Copyright© 2015GRID-Arendal • Cartografare ilpresente/NievesLópez Izquierdo

Wind power potential

100 km

Source:GlobalEnergyNetwork Institute,

(geni.org

,accessNovember2015).

m/s

> 9.4

5.9 - 6.9

< 5.9

Annual mean

wind speeds

at a height of 80 m

Copyright© 2015GRID-Arendal • Cartografare ilpresente/NievesLópez Izquierdo

Geothermal energy potential

Geothermal

heat-flow density*

* Measures the relationship between

heat-flow and temperature gradient.

100 km

Source:GlobalEnergyNetwork Institute,

(geni.org

,accessNovember2015).

80

50

30

0

150

mW/m

2

Copyright© 2015GRID-Arendal • Cartografare ilpresente/NievesLópez Izquierdo

Renewable energy provides a significant share of

the region’s energy and is higher than the EU-27

average (EEA, 2008). Almost all of the renewable

energy comes from large hydropower plants;

wind, solar and geothermal sources remain

negligible at less than 1 per cent of the total.

The EU, as part of its terms for accession, will

require all countries to have larger proportions

of energy from renewable sources. Investments

in hydropower, biodiesel, wind and solar power

stations will multiply (Ralchev, 2012). The share

Renewable energies in the Western Balkans and future plans

of renewable energies within the total energy

mix is expected to increase significantly, with

hydropower remaining the largest source of

renewable energy (EEA, 2008).

More than 500 hydropower projects are under

development in the Western Balkans region

(IUCN, 2015). Many of these will take place

on largely intact river systems and within or in

proximity to key biodiversity sites within the

region (IUCN).