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INFORMS Nashville – 2016

304

TC07

102B-MCC

Information and Influence Diffusion in Networks

Sponsored: Data Mining

Sponsored Session

Chair: Wenjun Wang, University of Iowa, Pappajohn Business Building,

Iowa City, IA, 52242-1994, United States,

wenjun-wang@uiowa.edu

1 - Community Detection And Correlation Analysis

Lian Duan, Hofstra University, Hempstead, NY, United States,

Lian.Duan@hofstra.edu

, Nick Street, Yanchi Liu,

Meral Binbasioglu, Haibing Lu

The advances in graphs play an important role to understand interrelated data.

Inside graphs, there are usually community structures where different portion of

nodes are more tightly connected to form a group, and community detection has

wide applications in marketing, management, health care, and education.

Nowadays, many different methods are proposed to detect community structures

from different perspective. In our research, we build a connection between

community detection and correlation analysis. It helps to utilize the progress in

correlation analysis for community detection.

2 - Detection Of Online Manipulation And Information Diffusion

Onur Varol, Indiana University,

ovarol@indiana.edu

Social media have become vehicles for instantly disseminating and accessing

information on a global scale. Understanding mechanisms governing information

diffusion is important and detection of malicious intents and activities are also

curious. In this talk, I will present our prediction and early detection framework

for social media campaigns and our online social bot detection platform called

BotOrNot. Then I will present our work on information diffusion on

heterogenous-intent networks. We experiment with user-level perception of

messages, analyze large-scale information cascades, and model information

diffusion in heterogeneous-intent networks.

3 - Modeling Influence Diffusion For Viral Marketing In

Social Networks

Wenjun Wang, University of Iowa, Iowa City, IA, United States,

wenjun-wang@uiowa.edu

, Nick Street

Viral marketing is a technique that induces users in a social network to pass on a

marketing message to other users so as to achieve the largest cascade of product

sales. It can be formulated as an influence maximization problem under a

stochastic diffusion model. In this paper, we propose a novel Multiple-path-based

Asynchronous Cascade (MAC) model, which captures both direct influence from

neighboring influencers and indirect influence from influencers two or three hops

away. It also takes into account influence attenuation along diffusion paths,

influence decay over time, and temporal diffusion dynamics. We then investigate

various heuristics to address the influence-maximization problem.

4 - How Peer Influence Affects Preference Evolution And Product

Selection In Offline Retail

LIN ZHAO, Tsinghua University, Tsinghua University,

Shunde Builiding Room 615, Beijing, 100084, China,

zhaolin14@mails.tsinghua.edu.cn

We combine offline retail with social network by presenting different types of

social network information to consumers. We also investigate how the social

influence mechanism may differ for different types of products. We propose a

multistage conjoint choice experiment to observe initial preferences and products

selection of consumers prior to observing their choice interdependence. We try to

show that it is possible to improve marketing response through the visibility of

consumers’ social network information. Also, we want to support the

recommendation system for offline retail.

TC08

103A-MCC

Ethics and Sustainable Business Models

Invited: Business Model Innovation

Invited Session

Chair: Elena Belavina, University of Chicago Booth School of Business,

Chicago, IL, United States,

elena.belavina@chicagobooth.edu

1 - Honesty, Ethical Free Agency And The Hold-up Problem

Manu Goyal, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT, United States,

Manu.Goyal@eccles.utah.edu,

Krishnan S Anand, He Chen

We construct a finite-horizon model of incomplete contracts, where contracting

partners are vulnerable to ex-post opportunism and hold-ups, that also integrates

bounded rationality, moral hazard and adverse selection. We prove that an honest

player - who never holds up its contracting partner - can obtain strictly greater

profits than an unconstrained profit-maximizer, even though the latter has access

to a superset of strategies, including the option of mimicking the honest type. Our

research provides a bridge between normative rationales for honesty, the province

of ethics, and profit-maximization, which is axiomatic in economics, by providing

a compelling economic rationale for honesty.

2 - Increasing The Adoption Of New Life-improving Technologies

Gonzalo Romero, Rotman, University of Toronto, 91 Ferrier

Avenue, Toronto, ON, M4K 3H6, Canada,

gonzalo.romero@rotman.utoronto.ca

, Andre Du Pin Calmon

Motivated by the operations of a distributor of life-improving technologies in

India, we consider a model where a retailer sells an item to risk averse consumers,

who derive an uncertain value from using this product. Without external

intervention, the market might collapse such that no sales occur. The distributor

intervenes in the market using two levers: (i) educating consumers, which

reduces the uncertainty in their valuation and (ii) implementing a reverse

logistics channel that allows for regret-returns and also a higher salvage value for

the retailer. We compare the relative effectiveness and substitutability degree of

each of these levers.

3 - New, Refurbished, And Used: Key Factors That Influence

Consumers’ Choices

Erin Cassandra McKie, University of South Carolina, 1014 Greene

Street, Columbia, SC, 29212, United States,

erinmckie@gmail.com,

Mark Ferguson, Michael Galbreth, Sriram Venkataraman

Remanufacturing is increasingly providing new profit opportunities for firms, as

well as more product condition options - such as new, refurbished, and used - for

consumers to choose. Using secondary data and choice model analysis techniques,

we estimate the influence of various factors on consumers’ purchasing decisions

4 - Kicking Ash: Who (or What) Is Winning The War On Coal?

David Drake, Harvard Business School,

ddrake@hbs.edu

Power generators throughout the U.S. have shed coal capacity at an

unprecedented rate over the past few years. Multiple stakeholders have claimed

credit - natural gas executives, renewables advocates, policy makers, and

environmental NGOs among them. In this nascent work, we explore the extent to

which each has impacted the expected life of coal-fired power generating units.

TC09

103B-MCC

Environmental Logistics and Supply Chain

Operations

Sponsored: Energy, Natural Res & the Environment I Environment &

Sustainability

Sponsored Session

Chair: Dincer Konur, Missouri University of Science and Technology,

Rolla, MO, United States,

konurd@mst.edu

1 - Economic And Environmental Considerations In A Stochastic

Inventory Control Model With Order Splitting Under Different

Delivery Schedules Among Carriers

James F Campbell, University of Missouri-St Louis,

campbell@umsl.edu

, Dincer Konur, Sepideh Monfared

We analyze an integrated inventory control and delivery scheduling problem with

stochastic demand and economic and environmental considerations. Models

consider order splitting among many carriers and two delivery scheduling

policies: sequential splitting and sequential delivery. Bi-objective mixed-integer

nonlinear models are formulated and solved with an adaptive -constraint

algorithm and an evolutionary search algorithm to approximate the Pareto front.

Numerical studies are used to compare the algorithms, explore the effects of

demand variance, show how delivery policy and carrier selection affect

performance, and document the need for a good approximation of the Pareto

front.

2 - Environmental Considerations In Liner Shipping And

Vessel Scheduling

Maxim A Dulebenets, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL,

United States,

mdlbnets@memphis.edu

, Mihalis Golias,

Sabya Mishra

Carbon dioxide emissions from maritime transportation constitute 2.2% of the

world’s anthropogenic carbon dioxide emissions. A number of environmental

regulations were released by the International Maritime Organization to reduce

the pollution levels over the last decade. Considering an increasing attention of

the community to environmental issues in liner shipping, this presentation will

focus on: 1) approaches for modeling emissions produced by vessels; and 2)

alternatives that would reduce vessel emissions and improve environmental

sustainability. A number of case studies will be presented to demonstrate how

negative environmental externalities can be alleviated.

TC07